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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS64 KMAF 211955
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
255 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
-- Changed Discussion --
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Low clouds are beginning to lift and break across northern and
eastern portions of the Permian Basin this afternoon. Temperatures
there are warming into the upper 50s while where clouds remain thick
further south and west temperatures are near 50 degrees currently.
Upslope flow will continue to weaken this afternoon allowing most
areas to see at least a little sunshine. Low clouds are likely to
return to the Trans Pecos overnight as low bottom out mostly in the
40s. Southerly flow returns Monday with plenty of sun across the
area allowing highs to rebound back into the 70s with 80s along the
Rio Grande.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.LONG TERM...
-- Changed Discussion --
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Upper level ridge takes over Tuesday and brings temperatures well
above normal with most in the upper 80s to low 90s. A weak front
looks to approach the region late Tuesday and into Wednesday, but
guidance is having a tough time determining just where the front
ends up putting highs on Wednesday into question. If the front makes
it through the Permian Basin, a cooler day like what has been seen
this weekend will be possible. Otherwise, Wednesday will be another
warm day with highs once again in the 80s and 90s. Heading into
Thursday, an upper low passes just north of the area bringing breezy
conditions to the region. High winds may be possible in the
Guadalupe Mountains, but the track of the low will be important. A
second, deeper low looks to track a bit further south than the first
one and could also bring breezy or windy conditions to the region,
but confidence remains low in regards to this system.

-Stickney
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

MVFR CIGs will begin to lift over the next couple of hours with
all terminals expected to return to VFR by mid afternoon.
East winds will continue around 10 kts. Low CIGs could return
overnight, especially at KFST and KPEQ.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
-- Changed Discussion --
Big Spring               43  74  51  90 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 44  78  50  92 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   52  72  52  86 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            47  78  53  92 /   0   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass           43  74  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    40  74  46  90 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    39  75  46  87 /   0  10   0  10
Midland Intl Airport     44  73  51  89 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   46  74  53  89 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     47  78  52  93 /   0   0   0   0
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...29