Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 251647
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1147 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...

See 18Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours under upper-lvl ridging
in weak return flow east. A widespread cu field is anticipated
this afternoon east of the dryline, w/bases 5-8 kft agl.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 547 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018/

DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...
VFR conditions with just some mid clouds are expected at the west
Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals the next 24 hours. Winds
will generally be out of the south at 5 to 15 mph with some
higher gusts this afternoon.

12

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 330 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge builds up from Mexico and across the region as cut off
low rolls across CA today.  This low will move over NV on Saturday
and UT Sunday before weakening and lifting NE.  Another upper trough
moves ashore the West Coast Wednesday  This will leave the ridge in
control of the regional weather pattern with hot wx expected.

Main story will be the temperatures... expect highs of 100 or more
today across parts of the Permian Basin... Southeast New Mexico...
the Trans Pecos... and along the Rio Grande. This expands across
most of the region for the weekend with highs in the 100-105
range... could see 110 along the Rio Grande. These temperatures are
well above normal.  May reach heat advisory levels along the Rio
Grande on Saturday and be close to it elsewhere.  Expect similar
temperatures Sunday.

Have good low level moisture this morning with dewpts in the 50s
over the west and 60s over the east.  As the wind gets a more SW
component during the day the better moisture will be pushed east.
Could see a few afternoon storms over the Davis Mountains down into
northern Brewster county.  Then upper ridge should choke off most
rain chances this week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     71 103  74 103 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       63 103  68 104 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         72 105  74 106 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  73 103  74 104 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 68  99  69  95 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          64 100  70 100 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                          55  96  63  97 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           72 104  74 104 /   0   0   0  10
Odessa                         72 104  74 104 /   0   0   0  10
Wink                           70 105  73 106 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

44/49/44


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