Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 250752
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
252 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...
NW flow aloft persists and in the wake of a strong cold front this
morning much cooler wx is expected. MSLP gradients are tight and
windy-very windy conditions will not abate until mid/late morning.
Wind advisory conditions may briefly occur across the PB, but
with such short duration we will not expand NPW. Post-frontal
isentropic lift 300-305K layer will transition to descent around
18Z with low clouds slowly clearly nw-se after 18Z. TSRA have
been on the decrease across the far e CWFA and mostly light precip
in assocn with isentropic lift is possible til around 18Z, some
TSRA is still possible across the s between 12Z-18Z. Depending on
the timing of when the clouds lift some areas of the PB will not
get out of the 50s today! NAM12 forecast sounding is about 5
degrees cooler than MOS, making Thur AM another cool one, U30s-
M40s. Yet another shrtwv trof in nw flow aloft Thur PM will drive
a cold front (dry) into the PB/SE NM late Thur afternoon. After a
warm-up on Thur high temps will fall back in M70s (below normal)
Fri. Sat mid-level flow pattern begins to transition back to sw
and by Sun PM a dryline will develop and storms will possibly
initiate along/near dryline SE NM/W-NW PB. More of the same Mon-
Tue, but with stronger sw flow aloft the dryline will be farther e
each day and by Tue any storms would be most favored across the
far e. On Wed there are indications of a deep low to the w, but
differences in how far s it will be.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     59  44  79  49 /  40   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       64  46  82  49 /  10   0   0   0
Dryden                         69  50  81  56 /  50   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  57  47  81  51 /  40   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 54  47  79  49 /  10   0   0   0
Hobbs                          61  41  78  44 /  20   0   0   0
Marfa                          59  40  81  46 /  20   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           58  44  80  49 /  30   0   0   0
Odessa                         59  44  80  49 /  30   0   0   0
Wink                           61  44  82  50 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Wind Advisory until noon MDT today for Central Lea County-Eddy
     County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern
     Lea County-Southern Lea County.

TX...High Wind Warning until noon MDT today for Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

$$



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