Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
695 ACUS11 KWNS 290448 SWOMCD SPC MCD 290447 MOZ000-ARZ000-290645- Mesoscale Discussion 0569 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1147 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Areas affected...Ozarks region Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 290447Z - 290645Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...there is a low risk of a brief tornado, and/or gusty winds, with convection early this morning. DISCUSSION...Weak mid-level short-wave trough is ejecting northeast across MO late this evening. This feature appears largely responsible for MCS that is propagating across central MO. Southwestern flank of this complex trails across the MO Ozarks into northwest AR. Isolated supercells are embedded along this flanking convection where weak buoyancy has yet to be overturned. Forecast soundings for this region suggest parcels may be slightly elevated, but strongly sheared. While a brief tornado can not be ruled out, at this time it appears the weak instability will limit the severe potential as the MCS propagates downstream. ..Darrow/Smith.. 04/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF... LAT...LON 37249226 37569104 36849062 36329197 36479284 37249226