Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 261710
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261709
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-261945-

Mesoscale Discussion 0529
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1209 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

Areas affected...From northeast New York across Vermont...New
Hampshire...and into far southern Maine

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 261709Z - 261945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are likely to develop over the
next 2-3 hours, with a few strong wind gusts or small hail possible.

DISCUSSION...Visible imagery shows CU increasing near a front from
northeastern NY toward southern ME. A warm air mass exists to the
south across southern New England, and some further heating will
occur through broken clouds near the front. Low-level flow is a bit
veered, but glancing warm advection is possible into the area,
aiding the development of weak instability. Mean wind speeds in the
low-levels are relatively weak, but increasing flow aloft may yield
a few semi-organized, persistent storms, thereby maximizing the
probability of a strong wind gust or small hail report.

..Jewell/Hart.. 05/26/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...

LAT...LON   44117378 44077294 44037210 43827085 43727045 43587011
            43057007 42617036 42487087 43087308 43407365 43667396
            43887397 44117378



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