Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 150646
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150645
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-150845-

Mesoscale Discussion 0263
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Areas affected...southeast Alabama...parts of the Florida
Panhandle...and extreme southwest Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

Valid 150645Z - 150845Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated strong wind gusts and/or a brief tornado or two
remain possible in/near Tornado Watch 50.

DISCUSSION...Latest objective analysis shows a narrow zone of
moist/minimally unstable air across WW 50, ahead of the
eastward-moving line of convection.  As a zone of ascent associated
with a very subtle disturbance within the broader trough (noted over
the northwest Gulf per WV loop) spreads eastward across the central
Gulf Coast region, storms will likely be maintained over the next
several hours.  With background shear supportive of updraft
organization/rotation, limited severe/brief tornado risk may persist
across the WW area.  Strongest convection, however, is forecast to
remain offshore, south of the Florida Panhandle coast.

..Goss.. 04/15/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON   29108635 29508657 31008633 31578608 31958488 31898449
            31168447 30018510 29178489 28518503 28738589 29108635




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