Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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604
ACUS11 KWNS 072247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072246
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-080015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0683
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0546 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024

Areas affected...Southern Lower MI...Northeast IN...Northwest OH

Concerning...Tornado Watch 196...

Valid 072246Z - 080015Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 196 continues.

SUMMARY...Supercells will spread northeast this evening. Tornado
threat continues, along with large hail.

DISCUSSION...Exit region of mid-level speed max is spreading across
the central Great Lakes region early this evening. Approaching short
wave/speed max is contributing to a slow northward advance of
surface warm front that currently drapes across northern OH into
southern MI. No less than half a dozen long-lived supercells are
currently noted near this warm front, several of which are, or have
been tornadic. Additionally, very large hail has been noted at
times. This activity will continue spreading northeast over the next
few hours. Greatest tornado threat will be near and just south of
this warm front as buoyancy drops considerably north of the wind
shift.

A bit south of the warm front, discrete supercells are gradually
increasing in intensity across eastern IN. Longer-lived updrafts
will spread into the OH portion of ww196 in the next 1-2 hours.

..Darrow.. 05/07/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON   40608515 43108537 43118340 40618326 40608515