000
ACUS11 KWNS 211706
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211705
FLZ000-GAZ000-211900-

Mesoscale Discussion 0503
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Areas affected...Northern FL and Extreme Southeast GA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 211705Z - 211900Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Ongoing cluster of storms could produce a few damaging
gusts from 45 to 60 mph as it moves across northern Florida and
extreme southeast Georgia over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Small convective cluster currently moving across
Hamilton and Suwannee Counties in northern FL has shown some signs
of intensification over the past half hour or so. This is likely a
result of increased air mass destabilization in tandem with
gradually strengthening large-scale ascent and mid-level flow
attendant to an approaching shortwave trough. Some additional
intensification of this cluster is anticipated, with the potential
to produce a few damaging gusts from 45 to 60 mph as it moves
quickly east-northeastward across northern FL and extreme southeast
GA (i.e. Ware and Charlton Counties). Limited spatial extent of this
threat will likely preclude the need for a watch, but convective
trends will be monitored closely.

..Mosier/Smith.. 04/21/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON   30268308 30768240 30798148 30148128 29798254 29938315
            30268308