Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 211340
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
940 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.UPDATE...
Today...Mid/upper level trough over the eastern Gulf is nudging
northwest and weakening but moisture plume from Cuba to the Florida
peninsula is being maintained.  Like the last couple days, we`re
starting out with extensive clouds/showers, which will limit daytime
heating once again.  Recent HRRR model runs show large areas of rain
with embedded showers lingering well into the afternoon, especially
over the interior.  Breezy low level southeast flow may provide
enough convergence for isolated lightning storms with locally heavy
rainfall.  Overall, little change planned to current forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
Another day with extensive cloudiness and large areas of light rain.
Embedded showers with heavy rain will also occur along with a slight
chance for lightning strikes. We should see a slow transition of
this MVFR activity from the coast to interior sites through late
afternoon. Brief/local IFR is also possible.  Early morning
stability due to rainfall is inhibiting breezy southeast winds from
kicking in KMLB-KSUA.  A period of 15-20 knot winds may still occur
there this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Today/Tonight...Pressure gradient between Atlantic ridge and weak
surface trough in the Gulf of Mexico is supporting 15-20 knot
southeast winds and 6 foot seas offshore.  Little change to previous
forecast.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

Forecasts...Lascody
Impact Wx...Volkmer
Aviation....Rodriguez


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