-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
601
FXUS62 KMLB 291401
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1001 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
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Issued at 1000 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

A few light marine showers are moving onshore near the Cape and
Titusville this morning, with dry conditions elsewhere. A field of
cumulus is beginning to unfurl over the Treasure Coast and will
spread north and west through the day. Temperatures now in the 70s
are forecast to reach the mid to upper 80s from
Sanford/Orlando/Okeechobee westward (interior). Closer the coast
and behind today`s east coast sea breeze, slightly cooler temps
are expected in the low 80s. Overall, no major changes were made
from the previous forecast.
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&&

.AVIATION...
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(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 1000 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

VFR continue. A few showers will continue moving onshore near TIX
this morning, with no impact expected. Gusts from the SE around 20
kt are expected thru the day, along with a few mid and upper level
clouds. Winds subside this evening over land, staying around 10-12
kt at the coast.
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&&

.MARINE...
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Issued at 1000 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Today-Tonight (modified previous)...Seas will remain 3-5 ft into
tonight. With high pressure weakening and pushing seaward, the
directional component will veer ESE/SE with speeds 11-17 kts
areawide. A few showers are possible during the day with coverage
possibly increasing later tonight, especially over the Gulf Stream
and south of the Cape.

Tuesday-Thursday...Generally favorable boating conditions return mid
week as east to southeast winds fall below 15 knots and seas return
to 2-4 feet. A slight chance of marine showers Tuesday and
Wednesday, with a small threat for lightning especially over the
Gulf Stream waters.
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&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
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Issued at 208 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Today...The pressure gradient relaxes a bit as winds veer ESE/SE
increasing to 10-15 mph with some higher gusts thru the day. ISOLD
sprinkles/showers still possible - esp along the coast, but most
locations will remain dry. Could see min aftn RHs fall to 30-40pct
well into the interior, with 45-55pct more likely closer towards
the coast. Fire sensitive conditions continue overall with the
mainly dry conditions and winds.

This Week...Fire sensitive conditions continue this week with drying
fuels and very little rainfall accumulation expected. A 20-30%
chance of showers Tuesday and Wednesday with a small threat for
isolated thunderstorms. Warming temperatures will lead to lowering
humidity values, which will fall below 40% each afternoon across the
interior.
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&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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DAB  81  65  83  66 /  20  10  20  10
MCO  86  66  86  67 /  10   0  20  10
MLB  80  67  82  68 /  20  10  20  10
VRB  82  65  83  66 /  20  20  20  20
LEE  86  67  87  68 /  10   0  20  10
SFB  85  65  87  67 /  10   0  20  10
ORL  86  66  87  68 /  10   0  20  10
FPR  82  64  83  65 /  20  20  30  20
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&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Schaper
LONG TERM...Schaper
AVIATION...Schaper