Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 141348

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
948 AM EDT Wed Mar 14 2018


...Unseasonably cool through Fri morning, then warmer temperatures
into early next week...

Today...A frontal trough along the Carolina coast will push east
while cold high pressure centered over the southern Plains settles
to the Gulf Coast states.  This scenario is increasing low level
northwest winds and reinforcing the cool/dry air mass that was
already in place.  It will be another sunny day with overall little
change in max temps compared to yesterday; some mid 60s far north
ranging to around 70 in the south.  No changes to previous forecast.




Today-Tonight...Surface high pressure will move southeastward to
across the Gulf Coast States today, behind a frontal trough that was
pushing away from the east coast.  Northwest winds have already
increased across the northern waters to 15-20 knots and will spread
southward across the offshore waters this afternoon.  Seas are 4-5
feet nearshore and 5-6 feet offshore.  Won`t change the exercise
caution statement for the offshore waters.  Winds tonight are
forecast in the 10-15 knot range and will be more northerly, so
exercise caution conditions should continue in the Gulf Stream.


Today...Max temps are forecast similar to yesterday but dew points
should be a little lower.  Hence, min RH will nudge downward with
the lowest values around 20 percent over the north interior.  Min RH
should even be lower than 30 percent along the coast.  Canaveral
profilers show 20 mph winds just off the deck early this morning, so
expect northwest winds will have enough gustiness to verify the Red
Flag Warning in some locations.  Increasing ERC values will help to
verify it at some other sites due to a long duration of low RH.


FL...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for
     Coastal Volusia County-Indian River-Inland Volusia County-
     Northern Brevard County-Northern Lake County-Orange-Osceola-
     Seminole-Southern Brevard County-Southern Lake County.




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