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000
FNUS72 KMLB 160834
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Gold Springs Rx #1...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
434 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Good morning. High pressure will remain over the local area today and
Wednesday, with a drier airmass remaining in place over the region.
Mostly sunny skies will persist through mid-week with temperatures
forecast to be slightly above normal for this time of year. Minimum RH
values near 35 percent this afternoon, and around 40 percent Wednesday.
Light winds will become east to southeast by late morning, increasing
to 8-13 KT with gusts up to 20 KT possible each day, which will produce
sensitive fire weather conditions. These gusty winds will also cause control
issues at new and existing burns. Rain chances remain out of the forecast through
midweek. Smoke dispersion values will be good to very good today and Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 13 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph shifting to the east 14
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 64, decreasing to 55 late in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  19  17  18  22  29  24  16  12  21
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  67  74  78  82  84  85  86  85  84
RH..............96  78  62  54  46  41  39  36  37  40
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   3   6   8   10  10  12  12  13  12
20 FT wind gust.                14  15  17  17  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 2.1 3.0 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   6   9   12  14  15  15  15  15  14
Dispersion idx..2   4   24  42  58  68  60  59  56  53
LVORI...........8   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....48 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........21     13     13     21     24     28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............82     73     68     64     62     61
RH..............43     64     78     93     100    100
20 ft wind......E 10   E 10   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 13   E 12   SE 10  SE 9   SE 8   SE 8
Dispersion idx..48     8      5      4      4      4
LVORI...........1      3      4      6      9      9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 52.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........31        37        30        28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............61        70        82        87
RH..............100       78        51        42
20 FT wind......SE 6      SE 7      SE 10G14  SE 10G14
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1300      3500      4600
Transport wind..SE 8      SE 8      SE 10     SE 10
Dispersion idx..4         14        44        54
LVORI...........9         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Watson
Requested by...Dana Herlin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410989.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Dana.Herlin@Fdacs.Gov