Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
858
FNUS74 KMOB 061115
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Chick 447;,448...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
615 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon at the burn site. Generally
good dispersion levels are anticipated this afternoon and good on
Tuesday. Southerly transport winds will continue through the forecast
period. Relative humidity levels should remain above critical
thresholds through Tuesday as well.
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog will continue this morning
and may be locally dense at times before 9 am. Fog should quickly mix out
before redeveloping again late tonight into Tuesday morning. Not expecting
dense fog Tuesday morning as winds should be a bit stronger keeping the
lower atmosphere mixed enough to preclude dense fog.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers late in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...975-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....47 increasing to 57 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 49 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62 61 61 60 64 67 71 68
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............83 86 88 89 89 89 89 89
RH..............67 61 55 52 52 52 52 52
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.12 13 15 16 16 17 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.1 3.2 3.6 3.6
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.14 14 14 15 15 15 16 16
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..47 57 61 61 55 52 49 49
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1097 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....49 decreasing to 10.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64 61 56 51 46 52 58 64 69 73 78 73
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............86 82 78 76 74 73 72 72 70 69 70 70
RH..............55 63 71 79 84 87 93 93 100 100 97 100
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.16 15 15 14 14 13 13 12 10 10 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.15 14 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 10 9
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..49 13 11 11 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 7
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 28 early in the morning, then
increasing to 47 late in the morning increasing
to 62 late in the morning decreasing to 56.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68 63 64 64 65 58 51 44 43 42 41 41
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............69 70 73 78 81 85 88 89 89 88 88 86
RH..............100 100 90 79 72 63 57 56 56 57 57 61
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 13
20 FT wind gust.9 9 12 14 16 18 20 22 22 22 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.3 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW S S S
Transp wind spd.12 10 13 15 16 16 16 17 17 16 16 16
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW S S S
Trans spd (m/s).5 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..7 11 28 44 49 57 62 66 64 60 56 56
LVORI...........8 7 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31)
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413237.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rodney.landrum@usda.gov