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000
FNUS73 KMPX 241436
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Cin WMA Rx Burn...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
936 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Cin WMA Rx Burn, skies will be
mostly sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from
west to east midday. This will allow highs today to be in the mid
to upper 60s. Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity
values forecasted to be in 50s this morning before dropping into
the mid 20s by the afternoon. Winds will be light and southerly at
5-10 MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 67.
RH..................54 percent at ignition...Min 21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /11700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /65900 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  54  57  61  64  65  66  67  66  66  62  58
RH..............54  43  34  27  23  23  22  21  23  24  31  37
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   8   9   10  10  12  10  12  13  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 3.2 4.9 5.7 6.4 6.7 7.3 7.3 7.1 5.7 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   7   7   7   8   8   9   10  12  12  10  15
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (70700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 15
                    to 18 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 24 mph with gusts
                    to around 35 mph shifting to the south around
                    25 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (85500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (118500
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 26 mph shifting to the south 29
                    to 31 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Nicholas Snavely
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412273.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Nicholas.Snavely@state.mn.us