Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 260711
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances increase from southwest to northeast
through the day as our next system swings through. Clouds and rain
keep high temperatures below normal. Drier conditions expected on
Friday and Saturday with warming temperatures.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270815-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+5)   45-50 (+1)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (-21)  93-98 (0)    36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G22
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     60           70           20
Precip duration       1            2            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Precip amount         0.12         0.16         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      6900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4500                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  1                     W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    6600                      89700
Dispersion            6 Very poor               53 Gen good
Max LVORI             7                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 30s to lower
40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear, warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270815-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+3)   44-49 (+1)   61-66
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (-16)  92-97 (0)    38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G24
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     80           70           30
Precip duration       3            2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Precip amount         0.19         0.26         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3100                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)   S  2                      NW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11600                     84000
Dispersion            7 Poor                    39 Fair
Max LVORI             6                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  5         W 13 G24

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 30s to lower
40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-270815-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+1)   42-47 (-2)   61-66
RH % (24h trend)      68-73 (-10)  93-98 (+1)   37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G22
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     90           80           20
Precip duration       5            3            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Precip amount         0.40         0.18         0.01
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      6200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5                      NW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    23500                     74400
Dispersion            6 Very poor               30 Fair
Max LVORI             6                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         N  5         W 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 60s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the 30s to lower
40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Highs in the 40s to mid 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to
mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-270815-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-1)   46-51 (-1)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      68-73 (-4)   91-96 (+2)   35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G21
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           70           0
Precip duration       7            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.50         0.11         0.00
LAL                   2            2            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      6200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1500                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6                      NW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    21000                     74400
Dispersion            7 Poor                    40 Fair
Max LVORI             6                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  5         W 12 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s to
lower 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northeast winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-270815-
Nantahala National Forest-
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-1)   44-49 (-1)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      69-74 (+2)   93-98 (+1)   36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G22
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           80           0
Precip duration       7            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.46         0.15         0.00
LAL                   2            2            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      6300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1100                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  6                     NW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    20400                     75600
Dispersion            6 Very poor               41 Gen good
Max LVORI             6                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270815-
East Tennessee District East-
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+4)   45-50 (0)    67-72
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (-11)  92-97 (+2)   34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G23
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     80           70           20
Precip duration       3            2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Precip amount         0.18         0.16         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      6100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4100                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)   E  2                      W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11200                     73200
Dispersion            7 Poor                    48 Gen good
Max LVORI             7                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 30s to lower
40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270815-
East Tennessee District West-
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (0)    46-51 (-1)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (-8)   91-96 (+2)   31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G22
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           60           0
Precip duration       5            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.28         0.08         0.00
LAL                   2            2            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2700                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  5                     NW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    20000                     60000
Dispersion            11 Poor                   43 Gen good
Max LVORI             5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      W 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the 30s to mid
40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
70s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-270815-
Cumberland District South-
311 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018 /211 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-4)   45-50 (-4)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      70-75 (+8)   92-97 (+4)   33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  5 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  9 G21
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           60           0
Precip duration       7            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 AM
Precip amount         0.51         0.05         0.00
LAL                   2            2            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2900                      5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1800                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)   E  6                      NW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    17400                     68400
Dispersion            9 Poor                    46 Gen good
Max LVORI             5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  7 G16    N  5         NW 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 70s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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