000
FXUS66 KMTR 141050
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
350 AM PDT Sun Apr 14 2024

...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 346 AM PDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Storm chances decrease this morning, but showers linger into
the afternoon before dry weather returns. A warming trend is
expected into the first half of the work week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 346 AM PDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Shower activity continues as the low slowly moves inland this
morning. Not much to show convection-wise, likely due to the overall
environment leaning on the cold and relatively stable side of
things.

Expect showers to lighten through the late morning as the low
becomes less organized while moving inland. Some drizzle activity
could linger around the Bay Area and Central Coast through the late
afternoon, but does not look impactful.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 346 AM PDT Sun Apr 14 2024

And back to dry weather.


A ridge pattern builds in quickly behind this weekend`s rains,
calling for a warming and drying trend. By the mid week, expect
widespread 60 and 70 degree highs and the lower 80s for the more
interior areas. The ridge weakens just ahead of next weekend,
allowing for more onshore flow, and cooler temperatures, but still
dry weather.

Looking into the longer-term forecast: Models and ensemble members
continue to push any possible rain-makers to the north of the
region, spelling out a long period of dry weather. Some weak rain
chances could be possible deeper into the forecast, but much can
change between now and the end of the month.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1049 PM PDT Sat Apr 13 2024

VFR through the period with some MVFR-IFR conditions possible as
heavier bands of rain move through the region. Widespread light rain
continues to enter the Bay Area. Thunderstorm chances decrease
overnight with the highest areas of potential remaining offshore. SE
winds will gradually turn SW moving through the TAF period with
gustier conditions to continue through the early morning.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR through the TAF period with some potential for
MVFR to develop if heavier showers move over the airport. Showers
will linger through tomorrow afternoon. Moderate SE winds will
gradually transition westerly moving through the TAF period.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR through the TAF period with MVFR
possible if heavier showers move directly over the airport. Showers
will continue through the early morning hours with drier conditions
to follow. Moderate SE winds continue through the early morning with
light to moderate westerly winds expected through the rest of the
TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 346 AM PDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Moderate to fresh winds will temporarily weaken early Sunday
before  stronger northerly winds return late Sunday. Moderate to
fresh  northerly winds will last through the work week creating
hazardous  conditions for small crafts. Showers will linger over
the waters  through Sunday with chances diminishing in coverage
throughout the  day. After the low moves away, ridging will start
to build with dry  conditions expected to last through the end of
the forecast period.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PDT this
     evening for Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 3 AM PDT Tuesday
     for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-
     10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM PDT Monday
     for Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT
     Tuesday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt
     Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Murdock
LONG TERM....Murdock
AVIATION...Canepa
MARINE...Kennedy

Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea
www.twitter.com/nwsbayarea
www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea