Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 191614

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1114 AM CDT Mon Mar 19 2018

Decreased the chance of rain across north central Oklahoma for


A few showers/sprinkles continue across north central Oklahoma,
near the Kansas/Oklahoma border, as a nearly vertically-stacked
low moves eastward. Wrap-around clouds--generally 1000-2000 ft
AGL--are associated with this system. Most of the wrap-around
clouds have been focused along and north of I-40.

Recent Oklahoma Mesonet observations have shown no measurable
precipitation in the last hour. Radar echoes have decreased in
intensity as well. Opted to decrease the chance of measurable
rainfall based on these trends.

Otherwise, a cool and rather breezy day is expected. Most
guidance suggests 0-1 KM average wind speeds will slowly decrease
this afternoon, but overall expect gusty winds through the
afternoon. High temperatures are only expected to be in the upper
40Fs across northern Oklahoma with limited insolation and cold
air advection.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 450 AM CDT Mon Mar 19 2018/

Poor flight conditions are expected for most of the day. At least
MVFR cigs will impact most of the terminals, with some showers
possible near PNC, WWR, and GAG. DZ will also be possible over
PNC, where the lowest cigs are anticipated, and could drop vsbys
to below 5 miles at times. Winds will continue to increase from
the west this morning, and then the northwest by late this morning
thru this afternoon. Expect gusts over 35 kt at times.


PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 407 AM CDT Mon Mar 19 2018/

The mid to upper low continues its track along the KS/OK border
early this morning. Most of the rain has ended for our FA,
although showers and light rain will remain possible across
northern OK throughout the day. Still expect breezy westerly winds
to develop early this morning as the surface low slides to the
east. Then, by late this morning thru this afternoon, winds will
increase from the northwest behind the cold front. A wind advisory
is in effect for today. Post frontal stratus still appears it
will accompany the front, especially over central and northern OK.
This cloud cover should keep it a bit chilly today. Gusts to 45
mph won`t help. The stratus may linger thru Tue morning over our
NE zones.

Clearer skies are expected during the day Tue, and temps will only
be a few degrees below avg for most of the area. A rapid warmup is
still anticipated mid to late this week under an upper ridge
axis. The warmest conditions are expected Fri, as strong downslope
flow develops under strong subsidence. Low 90s appear very
reasonable over our far western TX counties, and may even need to
be increased a bit as we approach mid week. The next chance of
storms will arrive Sun-Mon with a southern stream mid to upper
trough likely impacting the Southern Plains.


Oklahoma City OK  51  36  60  37 /  10  10   0   0
Hobart OK         56  33  63  37 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  63  36  66  39 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           47  30  62  34 /  10  10   0   0
Ponca City OK     50  36  57  33 /  20  10   0   0
Durant OK         66  41  62  40 /   0  10   0   0


OK...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004-005-009>011-

TX...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>089.



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