Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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947
FXUS64 KOUN 230953
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
453 AM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Some stratus remains present over OK early this morning. The
temperature forecast may become a bit difficult by this afternoon
along and east of I-35 with patches of stratus likely throughout
the day. Further west, it should mix out and become less of a
problem.

Rain chances are still expected to increase area wide by Tue along
and just behind a cold front. A few strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible Tue afternoon/evening across
western north TX within moist, warm airmass and near the surface
low. The main threat will be large hail, although with mixed BL
some wind damage can`t be ruled out. As a mid level shortwave
trough continues to dive south overnight across KS, broad mid
level ascent will increase. The heaviest rainfall is expected
along and south of I-40 near central/south central OK. Some
locations could receive another 1-1.25 inches of rainfall through
Wed.

Below avg temps are again expected Wed afternoon behind the front.
This will be especially true for central and northern OK where
stratus is expected to linger into the late afternoon hours. Went
much colder than the consensus again, dropping temps closer to raw
guidance.

Another brief, chance of light rainfall appears possible Thu night
into Friday morning as another mid level shortwave trough within
NW flow aloft follows the exiting one. Less moisture is expected
with this wave though, so do not expect QPF amounts to exceed much
over 0.1-0.2 inches along and east of the I-44 corridor. The
extended periods into this weekend will begin to look more like
Spring as southerly low level flow increases with the onset of
southwesterly flow aloft ahead of a PAC trough and southern stream
shortwave lifting out of west TX. Thunderstorm chances will likely
return late this weekend into early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  72  52  76  48 /   0   0  20  80
Hobart OK         74  50  78  45 /   0   0  20  80
Wichita Falls TX  76  51  80  50 /   0   0  10  80
Gage OK           74  48  71  40 /   0  10  40  60
Ponca City OK     73  47  75  46 /   0   0  10  60
Durant OK         74  52  78  54 /   0   0   0  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/03



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