Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 192044
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
344 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
What should become the first truly significant rainfall event for
far western Oklahoma in more than six months (!) is still expected
to begin late Friday afternoon or Friday evening. The slowly
moving storm system will bring widespread rain to much of Oklahoma
and north Texas from Friday evening through early Sunday.

Most-unstable CAPE values will be too low to sustain severe
storms, with perhaps a few brief exceptions over our western north
Texas counties, although even there, severe storms appear to be
very unlikely. Rainfall amounts should be in the moderate to heavy
category, but since most of the region has been very dry,
flooding potential is also not particularly high.

After the storm system moves away on Sunday, a couple of rather
pleasant days are expected, with mild temperatures and relatively
light winds, along with minimal chances for rain.

A cold front is forecast to arrive Tuesday afternoon and evening,
bringing somewhat cooler weather for midweek, and a slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms. Again, severe weather looks
improbable with that system.

CmS
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  41  66  46  54 /   0   0  70  90
Hobart OK         40  65  45  54 /   0  20  80  90
Wichita Falls TX  42  69  49  57 /   0  10  70 100
Gage OK           41  61  42  52 /   0  50  80  70
Ponca City OK     40  66  46  53 /   0   0  70  80
Durant OK         43  66  49  57 /   0   0  20  90

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/23



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