Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 211043
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
543 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
For the 12z TAFs:

Fog will decrease by mid morning but some sites will continue to
see MVFR or possibly IFR ceilings into midday. Low stratus this
morning will be most prevalent across northwest and west-central
Oklahoma including WWR and CSM. VFR conditions will then return
and prevail with light southeasterly winds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 327 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018/

DISCUSSION...
A bit more tranquil weather expected across the area through much
of the upcoming week.

Patchy morning fog should give way to quite a bit of sunshine
before an increase in high clouds by late in the day. The
sunshine and a return to south winds across parts of the area
should allow temperatures to rebound today back into the 80s
today. Will keep a low chance of an afternoon storm across the far
southeast, however much of the area is expected to remain dry
today.

Convection to the west of the area later today into tonight
could creep into far western Oklahoma late tonight into Tuesday
morning. This could happen again Tuesday night, maybe a bit
earlier, with the aid of a wave that the models are showing
working into western Oklahoma from the high plains.

The rest of the week should see temperatures gradually warm, with
more widespread 90s by Friday, with a low chance for showers and
thunderstorms each day. Very weak mid-level flow will keep the
chance for any severe weather rather low, but with sufficient
instability remaining in place, the chance for a severe storm is
not zero.

Models continue to show a transition to a more northerly mid-level
flow by the weekend, which may bring another front south through
the area with perhaps a bit drier by the second half of the
holiday weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  82  63  86  67 /  10  10  10  10
Hobart OK         83  62  86  67 /  10  10  20  20
Wichita Falls TX  83  64  87  68 /  10  10  20  20
Gage OK           85  61  87  66 /  10  10  20  30
Ponca City OK     82  62  87  66 /   0  10  10  10
Durant OK         84  67  86  69 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/30


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