Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 200327 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1127 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Dry weather is expected through early next week along with more seasonal temperatures. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
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Main change just before midnight was to decrease sky cover overnight as the lower level start to dry out. Mainly cosmetic changes otherwise. Previous discussion... Dry conditions expected through the night as high pressure builds back in over the the area. Latest soundings indicate lower levels to remain mixed overnight...so expect gusty winds to be maintained for much of the night.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/... Friday and Saturday will be cool days of improvement as surface high pressure builds under cold northwest flow. Expect highs for those days 10 to 15 degrees under the averages respectively. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Ridging will continue to build over the forecast area through early next week...maintaining dry conditions and a warming trend in temperatures. There is still below average model consensus in regards to timing the arrival of a southern stream low and it`s eventual phasing with a northern stream system. Minor adjustments in timing were largely made using latest ensemble guidance. && .AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A brief MVFR ceiling cannot be ruled out at FKL/DUJ where clouds are expected to hold on for most of the night. Elsewhere, skies should scatter out with wind gusts decreasing. OUTLOOK...General VFR may then be anticipated through early next week as high pressure builds. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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