Area Forecast Discussion
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113 FXUS61 KPBZ 192130 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 530 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018 .SYNOPSIS...
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Dry weather is expected through early next week along with more seasonal temperatures.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
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Only cosmetic changes were made with the 5:30pm forecast update. Dry conditions expected through the night as high pressure builds back in over the the area. Latest soundings indicate lower levels to remain mixed overnight...so expect gusty winds to be maintained for much of the night.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/... Friday and Saturday will be cool days of improvement as surface high pressure builds under cold northwest flow. Expect highs for those days 10 to 15 degrees under the averages respectively. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Ridging will continue to build over the forecast area through early next week...maintaining dry conditions and a warming trend in temperatures. There is still below average model consensus in regards to timing the arrival of a southern stream low and it`s eventual phasing with a northern stream system. Minor adjustments in timing were largely made using latest ensemble guidance. && .AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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Ceilings are keeping everyone in MVFR for the rest of the evening. Gusty conditions near 25kts from the NNW will continue into the night since there is no building warm inversion after dark to cut off the winds from aloft. Clouds will break after 06Z and VFR will prevail. OUTLOOK...General VFR may then be anticipated through early next week as high pressure builds.
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&& .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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