000
FXUS65 KREV 150821
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
121 AM PDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

A drier weather pattern returns this week with temperatures
near mid April averages today, then warming further through the
week. Afternoon highs will be around 10 degrees above average for
the last half of the week and upcoming weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

* Showers currently moving southward through western NV as of this
  writing will continue to move south and end this morning as the
  upper low over the Great Basin exits into the Rockies and drier
  air works in from the north. Satellite imagery continued to show
  quite a bit of low-mid clouds but these too will thin as we work
  through the morning with a band of mid-high clouds following
  this afternoon. It should be a rather "typical" mid April
  spring day as temperatures rise back to seasonal norms with
  light afternoon northwest breezes.

* A general W-NW flow aloft will prevail this week as shortwave
  energy remains mostly north of our region. A weak front will
  switch surface winds around to the northeast Wednesday and keep
  temperatures from warming up to the higher end of the ensemble
  spread. This means we will see mostly 60s and 70s this week - a
  longer stretch of warm daytime spring-like weather for those who
  have been looking forward to it. There are a few hints of light
  showers by the weekend in the latest GEFS/ECS, but nothing looks
  significant. If it were a little bit later in the season or
  warmer, we could realize more instability and maybe get a few
  storms. For now, chances are below 20% and the official forecast
  continues to follow a dry scenario per blended guidance.

Hohmann

&&

.AVIATION...

* Showers and clouds will be on the decrease this morning as the
  upper low over the Great Basin early this morning shifts east to
  the Rockies. There is about a 20% chance of freezing fog in
  Sierra valleys /KTRK/ as the clouds thin later this morning,
  with a slightly better chance tonight and early Tue AM as skies
  will be clear (60% chance). We will have some mid-high level
  cloudiness float through the region this afternoon.

* Otherwise, generally VFR with light winds through the upcoming
  week. Shower chances remain low (less than 20%).

Hohmann

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$