Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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000 FXUS61 KRLX 200659 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 259 AM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure through the weekend. Next system arrives Monday night. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 1250 AM Friday... A high pressure system will control the weather for today and tonight. With some dry air mixing expected during the afternoon hours, went on the lower side of dewpoints. Some cirrus arrives late Friday night. Frost/Freeze headlines will be needed again Friday night. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
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As of 245 AM Friday... This weekend looks quiet and mild, though an abundance of high clouds will help to filter out the sun during the day. Sunday will be the warmest as low level southeast flow boosts afternoon highs, probably a hair past the warmest guidance. An upper level system approaches Monday and becomes absorbed by an advancing trof in the northern stream Monday night. This spells an unsettled start to the work week, with rain developing from south to north late Monday. Most of the higher rainfall amounts should stay east of the CWA, though strong easterly low level flow is likely to lead to bullseye amounts on our eastern slopes by Tuesday.
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&& .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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As of 255 AM Friday... The upper level system departs to the north late Tuesday, though another impulse within the mean trof will rotate through Wednesday and Thursday. This will maintain the threat of showers, though it will continue to be mild.
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&& .AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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As of 1250 AM Friday... VFR expected through the TAF period. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: There is a small chance of MVFR clouds in the northern mountains early this morning. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. DATE FRI 04/20/18 UTC 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 EDT 1HRLY 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M AFTER 06Z SATURDAY... No widespread IFR conditions expected.
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&& .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for WVZ005>011- 013>020-024>031. OH...Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for OHZ066-067-075- 076-083>087. KY...Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for KYZ101>103-105. VA...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...RPY/30 NEAR TERM...RPY SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM...30 AVIATION...RPY

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