Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --840 FXUS64 KSHV 090505 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1205 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 ...New UPDATE, SHORT TERM... .UPDATE... Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Storms continue to weaken on a widespread basis and we have allowed Tornado Watch 210 to expire. && .UPDATE...-- Changed Discussion --Issued at 1001 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Expanded Tornado Watch 210 in time to midnight and included some Arkansas counties for a while longer too active SVR warnings.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .SHORT TERM...-- Changed Discussion --(Thursday through Friday) Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 No other changes at this time except to remove the Tornado Watch headline from the zone forecast wording for the rest of tonight. /24/-- End Changed Discussion --&& .LONG TERM... (Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 339 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Quieter weather briefly returns through the weekend before precipitation chances are reintroduced early next week. Quasi- zonal flow aloft will allow for a mid-level trough to drift eastward across the Four Corners into the Southern Plains. This trough, in combination with ridging shifting further east across the Mississippi River, will maintain enhanced southerly flow and moisture through most of early next week. Precipitation chances will remain through the same time period as a result. /16/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 635 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Widespread haze originating from Mexico and Central America will result in some instances of MVFR visibilities at the start of the period. A complex of strong to severe convection is expected to enter portions of Southeast Oklahoma and Northeast Texas around 09/02z before moving southeast affecting most TAF sites. The storms should begin to rapidly weaken after midnight local time, so convection was not mentioned at KMLU or KLFK. Low clouds are expected to rapidly develop after the storms dissipate resulting in widespread IFR/LIFR flight conditions. A slow improvement is expected after daybreak Thursday, but VFR conditions should return to most sites by 09/18z. More strong to severe thunderstorms are anticipated to affect Southeast Oklahoma and East Texas, potentially affecting KTYR, near the end of this TAF cycle. CN && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...-- Changed Discussion --SHV 67 83 62 82 / 50 0 0 0 MLU 65 81 58 82 / 60 0 0 0 DEQ 58 80 53 81 / 30 0 0 0 TXK 62 81 57 81 / 40 0 0 0 ELD 61 80 55 81 / 40 0 0 0 TYR 65 82 60 80 / 40 0 0 0 GGG 65 82 60 80 / 50 0 0 0 LFK 67 84 62 81 / 40 0 10 0-- End Changed Discussion --&& .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...09