Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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AXUS74 KSJT 091632

1032 AM CST Fri Mar 9 2018

...Drought conditions improve some across west central Texas...


The latest U.S Drought Monitor (USDM), released on March 8th,
indicates that severe drought (D2) conditions only exist over the
northwestern the Big Country currently. Extreme drought (D3)
conditions were introduced in the northwest corner of Haskell
county. Decent rain in the month of February resulted in an
improvement in drought conditions elsewhere.

Summary of Impacts...

Fire Weather Impacts...

Warmer than normal temperatures combined with periods of dry and
gusty winds enhance critical fire weather conditions. Fire danger
can change from day to day as wind and relative humidity vary.
The Texas Forest Service advises to watch out for key weather
thresholds of winds above 15 mph and relative humidity values
below 25 percent. When these thresholds are exceeded, expect the
fire danger will be elevated.

As of March 9th, countywide outdoor burn bans were supported in
Throckmorton, Fisher, Callahan, Runnels, Concho, Schleicher,
Menard, and Sutton counties.

Agricultural Impacts...

Subsoil moisture improved somewhat across the region. Winter wheat
and oats were still behind, but made some progress due to recent
rainfall. Range and pasture were still poor due to lack of
substantial rains, but some improvements were seen with the recent
rain. Livestock remained in fair condition, but supplemental
feeding continued. Hay is still in high demand. Stock tanks and
ponds responded to the recent rain and the levels have shown some

Climate Summary...

Some much needed rainfall occurred towards the end of February,
which helped drought conditions. However, we are still below
normal for the year and given that the 2017 calendar year ended
with a precipitation deficit, drought conditions persisted.

Since the beginning of January, 2018, the following precipitation
amounts have been recorded:

Abilene received 2.41 inches of rainfall, which is 0.43 inches
below normal.

San Angelo received 1.38 inches of rainfall, which is 1.31 inches
below normal.

Junction received 1.29 inches of rainfall, which is 1.74 inches
below normal.

Precipitation/Temperature Outlook...

According to the Climate Predication Center (CPC), La Nina will
continue over the next several months, before likely
transitioning into ENSO-neutral. Therefore, this will be the main
driver in weather patterns over the next several months. Overall,
normal to above normal temperatures and below normal
precipitation are expected for the remainder of winter and early
spring. If indeed some weakening of La Nina occurs, equal chances
for dry, normal, and wet conditions along with continuing above
normal temperatures will be expected for late spring.

Across west central Texas, the CPC outlook shows increased chances
of below normal precipitation in both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day
periods. The outlook also shows increased chances of above normal
temperatures in both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day periods. These
outlooks were updated on March 8th.

The latest U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook for February 15 through
May 31 (issued by the CPC), shows that drought conditions will
likely persist across western portions of west central Texas, with
some improvement across eastern portions of west central Texas.

Hydrologic Summary And Outlook...

According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), gaged streamflows
across most of west central Texas are normal to below normal for
this time of year.

Reservoir conditions as of March 9:

       Current  Conservation  Current         %
   Elevation       CapacityCapacity   Conservation
Reservoir    (ft)       (ac-ft)   (ac-ft)   Capacity

Fort Phantom Hill 1633.68 70030    61708 88
Lake Stamford 1415.89 51570    47075 91
Hubbard Creek 1180.13    318067   272704 86
Hords Creek Lake 1892.40  8443     4920 58
Lake Brownwood 1420.97    128839   106527 83
E V Spence 1846.31    517272    63172 12
O H Ivie 1513.17    554340   104648 19
O C Fisher 1869.81    119445     10081  8
Twin Buttes(North) 1898.47    177800    16346  9
Lake Nasworthy 1871.09  9615     8567 85

Next Issuance Date...

This product will be updated on April 6, 2018 or sooner if
necessary in response to significant changes in conditions.


Related Web Sites

Additional information or current drought conditions may be found
at the following web addresses:

U.S. Drought Monitor:

NOAA Drought Page:

Climate Prediction Center (CPC):

San Angelo NWS:

Additional River Information:

National Weather Service (NWS):

U.S. Geological SUrvey (USGS):

US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE):

The drought monitor is a multi-agency effort involving NOAA`s
National Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental
Information...the USDA...state and regional center climatologists
and the National Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this
statement has been gathered from NWS and FAA observation sites...
state cooperative extension services...the USDA...USACE and USGS.

Questions or Comments:
If you have any questions or comments about this Drought
Information Statement, please contact:

National Weather Service
7654 Knickerbocker Rd.
San Angelo, Texas 76904
Phone: 325-944-9445
E-mail: sr-sjt.webmaster@noaa.gov


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