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FNUS72 KTAE 031253
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for JC-Charlie...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
853 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

The nearby Sanborn RAWS station was reporting a temperature/dew
point of 65/64 with a calm wind under patches of upper clouds this
morning. Satellite imagery shows much of the fog and low stratus
over the FL Panhandle & SE AL. This activity should lift within
the next couple hrs with the burn site likely remaining
unaffected.

For today, low dispersions are forecast until about noon EDT when
winds pick up out of the SE followed by the afternoon seabreeze
inducing a southerly shift. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are
possible, but the higher chances are to the north around I-10.
Gusty, erratic winds with lightning would be the primary concerns.
Otherwise, expect hot conditions as temperatures rise to the
upper 80s, but feel closer to 90 degrees under mostly sunny skies.
Better potential for showers and thunderstorms are expected
tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  28  24  26  25  26  27  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............78  83  86  86  87  87  87  86
RH..............82  67  61  57  55  55  55  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   8   8   9   9
Dispersion......14  20  25  29  33  33  32  30
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........34  34  34  33  30  26  29  34  41  49  52  51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............85  82  78  76  72  71  68  68  67  67  66  66
RH..............59  67  76  82  93  97  100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  N   N   N   N   N   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   8   6   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N   NE  E
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   5   5
Dispersion......22  14  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   3   4   5   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  10

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  56  54  30  30  27  28  34  37  34  27  19
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............68  68  67  73  78  84  85  85  86  87  87  86
RH..............100 100 100 93  79  65  63  63  59  55  55  57
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  E   SE  S   SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   2   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.8 3.5 3.1 2.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   9   9
Dispersion......2   3   6   10  18  27  30  33  35  34  33  31
LVORI...........9   9   9   6   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Gonzalez
Requested by...Anthony Wood
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413078.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Anthony.wood@fdacs.gov