Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
000
FXUS64 KTSA 190513
AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1213 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 904 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Cold front has almost cleared the CWA as of 9 PM with a much
cooler airmass spreading over the area. All counties have now
been cleared from the Severe Thunderstorm Watch accordingly. A few
spotty showers remain possible across northwest AR the next few
hours, but should not amount to much.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Thursday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Cooler and dry weather prevails Friday with the next wave inducing
a broad region of upglide and expanding precip from late Friday
night through Saturday. Guidance continues to favor the bulk of
the precip across the southern half of the forecast area and
points southward. The heaviest rainfall totals are also likely to
remain south of the Red River through Saturday night. Widespread
cloud cover and ongoing precip will keep Saturday temps seasonably
cold with high temps 10-15 degrees below normal.
Sfc high overhead on Sunday yields a pleasant day with increasing
winds and warming temps on Monday. The next cold front passes on
Tuesday with the next chance of showers and storms. The developing
pattern for mid to late next week looks increasingly unsettled and
daily thunderstorm chances will remain in the forecast with
specific details refined in later forecasts. Typical for this time
of the year.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Low clouds will continue shift slowly south overnight as a drier air-
mass filters into the region behind cold front. VFR conditions
expected across NE OK around 09Z and at NW AR TAF sites around 12Z.
850 mb front stalls across southeast Oklahoma into west-central Arkansas
with MVFR ceilings persisting through much of the day. Otherwise, gusty
northeast winds expected in most areas.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 68 48 61 44 / 10 40 50 30
FSM 72 52 60 48 / 20 60 60 50
MLC 70 51 58 46 / 20 80 80 60
BVO 66 44 62 39 / 0 20 40 20
FYV 69 46 61 42 / 10 40 50 30
BYV 66 47 61 43 / 10 30 30 20
MKO 69 49 59 45 / 10 60 60 40
MIO 65 45 60 41 / 0 20 30 20
F10 68 49 58 45 / 10 60 70 50
HHW 69 52 58 46 / 20 80 90 80
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...12