Extended Streamflow Prediction
Issued by NWS

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581
FGUS65 KSTR 052220
ESPWY
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UTAH

                      WATER SUPPLY INFORMATION FOR
                            SOUTHWEST WYOMING
                                 AS OF
                             MAY 5, 2021


PRECIPITATION(% OF AVERAGE) AND SNOWPACK (% OF MEDIAN):

SUBBASIN                    APR      OCT-APR     MAY 1
                          PRECIP     PRECIP      SNOW
----------------------    ------     -------     -----
GREEN ABV FLAMING GORGE      75         85         70
BEAR RIVER HEADWATERS        60         70         60

RESERVOIR STORAGE (KAF) AS OF APRIL 30, 2021
Figures are in 1000 Acre Feet
                              C U R R E N T   Y R              L A S T   Y R
                           Usable     EOM Usable % of       EOM Usable   % of
                           Capacity   Contents   Capacity   Contents     Capacity
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   GREEN - FONTENELLE RE|      334.0|       125.2|     37|      145.1|        43|
   BIG SANDY - BIG SANDY|       38.3|        11.5|     30|       26.7|        70|
   BLACKS FORK - MEEKS C|       29.9|         8.4|     28|       15.7|        52|
   EF SMITHS FORK - STAT|       13.9|         4.5|     32|        6.6|        48|
   GREEN - FLAMING GORGE|     3749.0|      3178.3|     85|     3207.0|        86|
   BEAR - WOODRUFF NARRO|       55.8|        26.1|     47|       58.3|       104|


STREAMFLOW FORECASTS:
GREEN RIVER BASIN
                           Period     50%  %AVG    10%    30%    70%    90%    AVG
                           ------    ----  ----   ----   ----   ----   ----    ---
Green River
  Daniel, nr, Warren Brid  Apr-Jul    169    69    215    194    150    126    245
  Daniel, nr, Warren Brid  May-Jul    156    69    200    181    137    113    225
Pine Ck
  Fremont Lk, abv          Apr-Jul     63    64     80     69     56     46     98
  Fremont Lk, abv          May-Jul     62    65     79     68     55     45     96
New Fork River
  Big Piney, nr            Apr-Jul    170    48    255    198    142     89    355
  Big Piney, nr            May-Jul    154    47    240    182    126     73    330
Green River
  Fontenelle Reservoir, F  Apr-Jul    380    52    535    445    315    225    725
  Fontenelle Reservoir, F  May-Jul    325    51    480    390    260    173    640
Big Sandy River
  Farson, nr               Apr-Jul     27    52     42     32   22.0   17.7     52
  Farson, nr               May-Jul     25    52     40     30   20.0   16.0     48
Green River
  Green River, Wy, nr      Apr-Jul    375    51    530    450    305    220    730
  Green River, Wy, nr      May-Jul    325    51    480    400    255    170    640
EF Smiths Fork River
  Stateline Reservoir, Ro  Apr-Jul   16.2    62     23     19   13.7   11.8     26
  Stateline Reservoir, Ro  May-Jul   15.4    59     22     18   12.9   11.0     26
Blacks Fork River
  Robertson, nr            Apr-Jul     46    52     67     56     39     32     89
  Robertson, nr            May-Jul     44    52     65     54     37     30     85
Hams Fork River
  Frontier, nr, Pole Ck,   Apr-Jul     31    57     44     37     27     24     54
  Frontier, nr, Pole Ck,   May-Jul     26    54     39     32   22.0   19.0     48
  Viva Naughton Reservoir  Apr-Jul     37    50     55     44     33     30     74
  Viva Naughton Reservoir  May-Jul     30    48     48     37     26     23     62
Green River
  Flaming Gorge Reservoir  Apr-Jul    450    46    670    550    365    270    980
  Flaming Gorge Reservoir  May-Jul    380    45    600    480    295    200    845
Little Snake River
  Slater, nr               Apr-Jul     80    51    113     92     69     58    156
  Slater, nr               May-Jul     72    52    105     84     61     50    138
  Dixon, nr                Apr-Jul    148    43    215    177    127    106    345
  Dixon, nr                May-Jul    130    44    195    159    109     88    295

BEAR RIVER BASIN
                           Period     50%  %AVG    10%    30%    70%    90%    AVG
                           ------    ----  ----   ----   ----   ----   ----    ---
Bear River
  Utah-Wyoming State Line  Apr-Jul     54    48     67     59     49     42    112
  Utah-Wyoming State Line  May-Jul     50    48     63     55     45     38    104
  Woodruff Narrows Rsvr,    Apr-Jul     32    26     40     35     26     23    121
  Woodruff Narrows Rsvr,    May-Jul     30    29     38     33     24     21    105
  Montpelier, nr, Stewart  Apr-Jul     32    18     47     39   24.0   19.2    182
  Montpelier, nr, Stewart  May-Jul     25    17     40     32   17.0   12.0    145
Smiths Fork River
  Border, nr               Apr-Jul     49    55     63     54     45     38     89
  Border, nr               May-Jul     44    55     58     49     40     33     80

50% Most probable volume in 1000 acre-feet.
%AVG  Most probable volume in percent of the 1981-2010 average.
10% Volume that has a 10 percent chance of being exceeded.
30% Volume that has a 30 percent chance of being exceeded.
90% Volume that has a 90 percent chance of being exceeded.
70% Volume that has a 70 percent chance of being exceeded.
AVG   average volume for the 1981-2010 period.

All forecast volumes reflect natural flow.  Actual observed flow may
be affected by upstream water management.

CBRFC/Nielson/Bernard




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