Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 162010 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 310 PM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018 .SHORT TERM...
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(Tonight through Monday) Issued at 306 PM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018 Potent system moving through the region today creating areas of freezing rain and thunderstorms across our CWA. At 19z, the surface low was centered over north-central Kansas with the upper low just to the north of the surface low. Freezing rain has been limited to extreme northeast Nebraska but have gotten a few reports of light icing on elevated surfaces in western Iowa. A few bands will continue to pivot north across the area, but feel current headlines will work-out as freezing rain gradually changes over to sleet along the SD/Neb border, so only a little additional icing is expected yet this afternoon. As the main low continues to slide east overnight, cooler air dropping south will turn precipitation over to a sleet or snow mix before precipitation ends all-together as the system pulls east. Weak high pressure moves overhead for Saturday however another system approaches the region later this weekend. This low will drift east across Kansas with most of the precipitation falling as rain through Monday. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Friday) Issued at 306 PM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018 A secondary upper-level trough will drop south out of the Northern Plains bringing a chance for light snow to the area Monday night through Tuesday. Yet another short-wave takes aim at the area for late next week bringing another chance of precipitation to the region.
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&& .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon) Issued at 1237 PM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018 Widespread IFR conditions are expected through Saturday morning. MVFR cigs early in the TAF period will drop to IFR at all sites by mid afternoon. An area of rain at KOMA and freezing rain at KOFK will sweep north of TAF sites early. However redevelopment of rain, showers and possibly thunderstorms between 21Z and 00Z is expected. After 00Z, areas of drizzle and rain will affect KOMA and KLNK, with freezing rain at KOFK, will persist through 08Z. IFR to LIFR cigs are expected as well, continuing through the end of the TAF period. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM CDT Saturday for NEZ015>018. Winter Storm Warning until 1 AM CDT Saturday for NEZ011-012. IA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Kern LONG TERM...Kern AVIATION...Dergan is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.