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000
FNUS73 KMKX 151402
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Blue Mound State Park...WDNR
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
902 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 15.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will slowly move across the burn
area this morning then to the east for the afternoon. Light and
variable winds this morning will become light north to northeast
late this morning and through the afternoon. Very low relative
humidity is expected this afternoon. Breezy easterly winds then
develop on Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms expected by
late afternoon as a warm front approaches from the south.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................52 percent at ignition...Min 22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds variable at 3 mph or less at
                    ignition...otherwise becoming north to
                    northeast 5 to 6 mph by late in the morning
                    and continuing into the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Light and variable at ignition time then north at
                    10 mph by late morning and afternoon, then northeast
                    at 10 mph by late afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /5100 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /31600 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   4   6   6   9   6   6   3   2   9   11  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  48  50  56  60  63  66  67  69  70  70  70
RH..............58  60  63  52  44  38  32  28  24  23  23  24
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..4   3   0   2   4   5   6   6   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   1   6   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   5   6   6   9   9   10  9   7   8   7   7
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10002   1   2   5   17  24  32  30  24  29  26  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 14 mph with gusts to around 18
                    mph increasing to around 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 19 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 21 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........14  7   8   9   10  13  16  19  23  27  31  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  67  63  60  57  54  53  50  49  49  48  47
RH..............27  30  36  42  49  52  54  56  56  56  58  60
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   8   9   10  11  11  10  11  12
20 FT wind gust.10  11  12  13  14  16  18  18  18  18  18  19
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   9   12  14  16  17  18  18  20  20  20  21
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100024  4   5   5   7   8   9   9   10  11  12  13

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 60.
RH..................Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 14 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the morning and early
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 23 to 31 mph increasing to 33 to 36 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (54100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  49  61  72  80  79  77  78  82  88  93  93
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Temp............46  46  48  50  53  55  57  59  58  57  56  56
RH..............65  58  58  56  57  55  57  57  62  67  72  74
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..12  14  15  15  15  15  15  16  17  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.20  22  23  24  24  24  24  24  26  29  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.23  24  29  29  31  31  33  35  35  36  36  33
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100017  19  32  32  40  42  48  52  52  54  54  44

$$
Forecaster...Gehring
Requested by...Mike Healy
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410899.0/MKX
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mike@adaptiverestoration.com