Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
725
FNUS55 KTWC 162119
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
219 PM MST Thu May 16 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...After some mainly dry thunderstorms today, dry
weather returns Friday. While some wetting rainfall may occur in
the White Mountains this afternoon, the majority of the
thunderstorms will be dry, with gusty/erratic winds and lightning,
but little to no measurable rainfall. Highs warm to 3-5
degrees above normal Friday and 6-9 degrees above normal Saturday
and Sunday, before lowering back to within a couple of degrees of
normal next Tuesday. Min RH values in the valleys will be in the 10-
20 percent range this afternoon and then in the single digits to
lower teens Saturday into the middle of next week,
with values in the mountains between 20-35 percent this afternoon
and 10-20 percent Saturday through the middle of next week. 20-foot
winds will generally follow typical diurnal wind trends through
early next week, with afternoon and early evening gustiness due to
strong surface heating. The strongest 20-foot winds will be this
afternoon and next Monday, especially to the east of Tucson, with
wind speeds of 15-20 mph and gusts to around 30 mph. West-northwest
winds are expected this afternoon, with southwest-west winds on
Monday.
AZZ150-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
219 PM MST Thu May 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............11934 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 9 knots shifting to the west 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131274 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12898 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 8 knots shifting to the southwest
14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (180572 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 90 to 100. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 88 to 98. Southwest
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 86 to 96. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 88 to 98.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 87 to 97.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
219 PM MST Thu May 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of mainly
dry thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 18 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............12144 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 11 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (157872 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 15 mph becoming west
around 5 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............11211 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the
southwest 14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156954 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 85 to 95. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 13 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 83 to 93. Southwest
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 12 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 81 to 91. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 12 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 83 to 93.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
219 PM MST Thu May 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 18 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............11426 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (182816 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph decreasing to around
5 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............12724 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 8 knots shifting to the
southwest 14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (178136 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 85 to 95. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 84 to 94. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 82 to 92. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 84 to 94.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
219 PM MST Thu May 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11180 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (190060 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming clear.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph increasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10303 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 10 knots shifting to the
southwest 16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (164848 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 74 to 84. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 71 to 81. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 14 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 71 to 81. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 72 to 82.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 71 to 81.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
219 PM MST Thu May 16 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of mainly
dry thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............12042 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174609 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 18 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13147 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 9 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (151190 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 75 to 85. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 17 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 73 to 83. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 71 to 81. Southwest
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 15 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 73 to 83.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 71 to 81.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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