000
FXUS64 KOUN 181723
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1223 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 218 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Lingering patchy fog still remains possible across central,
southern and parts of southwestern Oklahoma, and portions of
western north Texas this morning. A cold front will continue to
move through the area, dropping temperatures in its wake.
Sustained winds of 20-25 mph with gusts of up to 40 mph are
possible through sunset. Mid to upper 60 dewpoints ahead of the
front, in addition to inverted V thermodynamic profiles, will
support strong to severe storms across portions of southern
Oklahoma this afternoon. The main hazards are damaging winds and
large hail. Cooler overnight lows are expected across the whole
area. Most locations will get down to the 40s, and far
northwestern Oklahoma may see temperatures drop down to the upper
30s.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 218 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Cooler temperatures will continue through the weekend, with
northerly winds continuing during this timeframe. A longwave mid-
level trough is expected to move across the Desert Southwest
Friday evening and into the Southern Plains by Saturday.
Widespread rain and a few thunderstorms will be possible across
the southern 3/4 of the area. Locations along and south of I-40
could get up to 1-2 inches through Sunday morning. The
aforementioned trough will move out Sunday as will the rain. A
warming trend will continue through the middle of next week, with
low end rain and thunderstorms chances by mid week.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

A cold front has cleared all but southeast Oklahoma at this time,
with gusty northerly winds in its wake. Wind gusts have subsided
some compared to this morning behind the front, but gusts of 20-35
knots remain possible through the afternoon. Ceilings are
generally MVFR across northern Oklahoma behind the front and also
across southeast Oklahoma ahead of the front, but are expected to
improve to VFR this evening and overnight at most of our sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  48  65  48  56 /   0  10  70  80
Hobart OK         45  65  45  55 /   0  10  80  90
Wichita Falls TX  51  65  51  57 /  10  10  80  90
Gage OK           40  64  40  52 /   0   0  50  70
Ponca City OK     43  65  46  57 /   0  10  40  60
Durant OK         53  67  54  62 /  20  20  80  90

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...08