National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS65 KABQ 152130
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
330 PM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024

...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 327 PM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Strong to damaging winds continue through early tomorrow afternoon
in portions of eastern NM. Critical fire weather conditions return
tomorrow afternoon to eastern NM where a Red Flag Warning is in
effect. Winds weaken and temperatures rise mid-week. A backdoor
front ushers in a cooler and more moist airmass into eastern NM mid
to late week. Showers and a few storms will favor locations along
and east of the central mountain chain late week into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 327 PM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Axis of the 120kt 300mb jet will cross over NM this evening into
tonight as the Pacific fropa continues into TX. Amplified westerly
to northwesterly winds will prevail into the overnight period across
the high terrain, with the strongest winds favoring the Sangre de
Cristo Mts and their adjacent highlands. H7 flow along the northern
ridge of the central mts will peak out at 60kts around 09Z and as
such, will be capable of meeting High Wind Warning criteria
throughout the night. Moisture on the back end of the low may allow
for some isolated high terrain snow and low elevation rain in and
around the Tusas Mts this evening, tapering off by midnight. The
front will allow overnight temperatures to be a few to several
degrees colder than last night`s readings but most locales will
still be near to above average for mid April. A regime of
northwesterly flow aloft will take hold in the wake of the upper
low`s departure into the Great Plains. Winds across the central
highlands and a portion of their adjacent plains will have the
capability of meeting High Wind Warning criteria, though a bit
earlier than would be typical due to the transient nature of the
stronger winds aloft. Temperatures on Tuesday will rebound quickly,
with most locales seeing 5F to 10F of warming compared to Monday`s
readings. A calm and clear night will follow, with winds diminishing
and overnight lows be near to well above normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 327 PM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Wednesday will be a typical spring day with breezy westerly winds
and sunny skies. A backdoor front edges into northeastern NM
Wednesday night, surging dewpoints and increasing cloud coverage.
Increasing moisture will bring temps down a few degrees across
eastern NM, but temps will remain high across central and western
areas. Moisture will surge into the Rio Grande Valley by Friday
morning, but strong gap winds are not forecast at this time given
moderate westerly flow aloft. Winds may begin to increase Friday out
ahead of a trough pushing the moisture back east of the central
mountain chain. Showers and a few storms are possible Friday and
Saturday afternoons across eastern NM, but currently looks like
widespread cloud cover will limit thunderstorm coverage. CPC
continues to show a signal of above average precip. across the
state early to mid next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1146 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Strong swly to wly winds will prevail during the TAF period with
widespread gusts of 30 to 40 kts most areas, and gusts of 50 to 55
kts across the sern portion of the CWA. This may create areas of
reduced vis due to BLDU, particularly in and around KROW this
aftn. Winds will shift wly to nwly with the fropa moving from west
to east this aftn into this evening. Nwly winds across the central
mts and ewd will remain gusty overnight and into Tuesday morning
and pockets of LLWS are possible across portions of the Rio Grande
Valley, including KABQ and KAEG, as well as the highlands of the
central mts and their adjacent plains tonight into early tomorrow
morning. Gusty wly to nwly winds will prevail in the late morning
most areas.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 327 PM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR EASTERN ZONES TUESDAY...

Northwest winds will peak early across the central highlands and
eastward on Tuesday, with the strongest gusts expected in and around
noon local time. While most locales will see improvement in regards
to moisture, min RH values will still fall into the teens and low
double digits. With the stronger winds and low humidity, did
maintain the previously issued Red Flag Warning for the central
highlands, northeast and east central plains. A weak backdoor front
will bring a northerly to easterly wind shift Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Drier conditions are expected all areas on Wednesday,
with widespread low double digit and single digit readings expected.
Single digit RH will persist for longer than 6 hours amongst some of
the denser fuels within the lower Rio Grande Valley, however winds
will be greatly reduced compared to magnitudes earlier in the week.
Some improvement will be seen to RH on Thursday across the
northeastern plains as a backdoor front surges southward and
westward. Elsewhere, however, widespread single digit RH will be the
norm which will allow elevated to near-critical fire weather
conditions to exist. The improved moisture will spread southward
across the eastern plains on Friday, limiting critical fire weather
conditions. Showers and thunderstorms reenter the forecast for
eastern New Mexico and the northern mountains Friday night into the
weekend.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  35  69  37  75 /  20   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  27  67  29  71 /  20   0   0   0
Cuba............................  30  64  34  71 /  10   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  27  68  30  74 /   5   0   0   0
El Morro........................  30  63  34  70 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  29  68  30  75 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  30  65  34  73 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  38  69  42  75 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  33  65  36  72 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  29  72  33  78 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  39  75  45  80 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  25  61  30  64 /  20   5   0   0
Los Alamos......................  35  65  41  71 /   5   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  32  66  36  70 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  32  61  37  65 /   5   5   0   0
Red River.......................  25  58  28  60 /   5   5   0   0
Angel Fire......................  27  58  22  62 /  10   0   0   0
Taos............................  27  66  30  71 /  10   0   0   0
Mora............................  32  64  34  70 /   0   0   0   0
Espanola........................  37  72  37  78 /   5   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  34  66  41  72 /   5   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  34  70  37  76 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  42  71  47  78 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  40  72  44  80 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  40  75  43  82 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  40  73  43  80 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  39  77  40  83 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  41  74  42  81 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  37  75  39  82 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  40  74  41  82 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  38  75  39  82 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  40  69  44  77 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  40  73  43  80 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  43  79  45  84 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  37  64  43  70 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  38  67  42  74 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  37  67  38  74 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  33  69  32  76 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  33  65  36  71 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  37  68  40  74 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  37  68  40  73 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  43  72  47  78 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  40  66  42  71 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  35  69  37  73 /   0   5   0   0
Raton...........................  34  73  33  77 /   0   0   0   0
Springer........................  36  74  35  78 /   0   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  36  70  36  73 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  43  75  42  78 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  40  74  40  77 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  44  82  42  84 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  43  76  41  81 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  44  80  42  84 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  46  80  45  83 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  46  82  44  84 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  45  80  43  84 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  47  86  49  89 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  45  76  46  83 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  42  75  44  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ104-106-
123>126.

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Tuesday for NMZ104-125-
126.

Wind Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ220>222-227-228.

High Wind Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ208.

High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to 3 PM MDT Tuesday for
NMZ214-215.

High Wind Warning until midnight MDT tonight for NMZ223>226-229-
233-238>240.

High Wind Warning from 6 AM to 4 PM MDT Tuesday for NMZ223-233.

Wind Advisory until midnight MDT tonight for NMZ234>237.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...12