Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
058
FNUS53 KAPX 030844
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
...Showers end today...
.DISCUSSION...A cold front crosses the area early today. Showers
and a few thunderstorms will continue early on, but then end from
west to east. The sun will come out a couple of hours after the
showers end. Rain will exit the northeast lower Michigan coast
by late afternoon. Winds will become westerly behind the front,
though remain on the light side. Quiet weather is expected tonight
and Saturday. East to southeast winds will become a touch gusty
on Saturday, especially in northwest lower Michigan.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-032200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then mostly
sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers and chance
of thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered
rain showers.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (285).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.18 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 22 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 51-56 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 20 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (535).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly
sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers and chance
of thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered
rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 51-56 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (239).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around
12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.19 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except around 50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 7 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (268).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-032200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers and
chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 51 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 14 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (282).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.19 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........71-76 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 30 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 44-49 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (524).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ031>033-032200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers and
chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 degrees cooler near the
coast.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 8 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (425).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.19 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........73-78 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 60-65 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (535).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
444 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly
sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers until 1200.
Chance of thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers
after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (404).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the northwest
around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.19 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....42-47.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (426).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
JZ