170
FNUS72 KCAE 080808
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for Ft Eisenhower Prescribed Burn Planning...Department Of Defense
National Weather Service Columbia SC
408 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Today is forecast to remain dry across the burn location,
with the best chance for showers and storm remaining off to the north
through the day.  Temperatures will climb well above normal, with highs
around 90 and heat index values in the mid 90s.  Low-level winds out of
the southwest, with transport winds more westerly today. A shallow low-level
inversion should be breaking by 10 am, with a dry adiabatic mixing layer
going up to 5000 feet developing through late morning.  Inversion sets
back up by 8 pm.  Rain chances will be on the increase tonight.  Potential
for organized severe convection on Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................21 early in the morning increasing to 75 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  13  19  22  24  26  25  23  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............75  80  82  84  86  87  89  90  90
RH..............82  74  67  63  57  55  52  49  49
Aparnt tmp (F)..75  83  86  88  90  91  94  94  94
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind dir..250 250 240 240 240 240 240 240 240
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   10  12  12  13  12
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  13  15  16  16  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.0 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.0 5.1 4.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind dir.260 260 250 250 250 250 240 240 240
Transp wind spd.13  13  12  13  14  16  17  17  18
LVORI...........3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............21  30  40  54  53  63  69  72  75

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 17 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................63 early in the evening decreasing to 8 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........16     15     16     24     26     26
Weather cov.....       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     30     30     20     10
Temp............89     82     78     76     74     72
RH..............48     63     69     74     82     87
Aparnt tmp (F)..92     85     78     76     74     72
20 FT wind......SW 12  SW 8   S 8    S 9    SW 10  SW 10
20 FT wind gust.16     12     12     13     15     15
20 FT wind dir..230    220    200    200    210    220
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   800    400    400    400    400
Transp wind dir.240    220    210    220    230    230
Transport wind..SW 17  SW 13  SW 13  SW 14  SW 15  SW 14
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      4      4
ADI.............63     8      8      9      10     12

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the afternoon, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 17 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 23 mph shifting to the west 21
                    to 24 mph late in the morning.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 63 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........39        54        61        62
Weather cov.....          S CHC     CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          S CHC     CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10        20        30        50
Temp............71        75        83        85
RH..............90        84        67        61
Aparnt tmp (F)..71        75        87        89
20 FT wind......SW 10G15  SW 14G18  SW 16G22  SW 16G22
20 FT wind dir..230       240       240       240
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1800      3000      3500
Transp wind dir.230       240       250       250
Transport wind..SW 14     SW 21     W 24      W 23
LVORI...........5         3         1         1
ADI.............12        37        58        60

$$
Forecaster...Liscinsky
Requested by...DPW-NRB
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413260.0/CAE
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zachary.a.blunk.civ@army.mil