Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
390
FNUS53 KGRR 061938
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
338 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
...Stormy Tuesday...
.DISCUSSION...After a dry night tonight, showers and thunderstorms
will develop and move through Tuesday morning and another round may
develop during the afternoon. QFP around two thirds of an inch is
likely.
MIZ037>039-043>045-070830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
338 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........72-77 percent near Lake Michigan and 63-68
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 26
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 2 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 AM until 2 PM, then rain
showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
2900-3400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-820 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.62 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 9 mph shifting to the
southwest around 8 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.28 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 40-45
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 5
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4100-4600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1090 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-070830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
338 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 41.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) until 11 AM, then partly
sunny (60-70 percent) until 5 PM, then cloudy
(85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers after 1
PM until 3 PM. Chance of thunderstorms after 2
PM. Rain showers after 3 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....740-870 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.27 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 AM, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms
until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 9 mph shifting to the
southwest overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.26 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1060-1340 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-070830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
338 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....48-53.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........67-72 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 11 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
2300-2800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.31-0.80 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....48-53.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4400-4900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....540-590 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-070830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
338 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent) until 5 AM, then partly
cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 2 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 AM until 2 PM, then rain
showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-840 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.83 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.33 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....960-1210 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-070830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
338 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........69-74 percent.
24 hr trend......37 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 2 PM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 AM until 2 PM, then rain
showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....670-690 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.81 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....110-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 5 PM, then partly
sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1360-1710 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening,
then showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Lows around 50. Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 13 to
18 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the lower 40s. North winds 12 to 17 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds 7 to 12 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
$$