Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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FXUS64 KHUN 241633
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1133 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of Today)
Issued at 947 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

A weak cold front was making progress southeast through southern
middle TN into far northwest AL at this hour. Due to sparse low
level moisture, mainly mid level clouds were present along and
ahead of the front. Earlier sprinkles or very light showers in
southern middle TN had moved southeast with just a few very small
returns on radar remaining in northeast AL. Clouds will decrease
behind the front, and temperatures will warm into the middle to
upper 70s for most areas (upper 60s to lower 70s in our eastern
higher plateau locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 333 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

With clearing skies occurring this evening and overnight,
temperatures should be able to drop back off quickly with the
setting sun -- pushing lows back into the upper 40s to lower 50s.
The aforementioned front that will be passing through the area
today will lift back to the north by Thursday afternoon/evening in
response to a deepening mid/upper trough pushing from the Ozarks
into the Mid-Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes. Low chances for rain
showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder or two will accompany this
boundary -- but again, very limited moisture will limit PoPs to
20-30% over a short window. An upper ridge axis will amplify over
the Tennessee Valley Friday and Saturday, resulting in a good
warmup as our winds veer to the south. Highs will reach the lower
80s on Saturday and potentially the low to mid 80s on Saturday.
One other note - south to southwesterly gradient winds will be
quite breezy easily gusting into the 15-25 MPH range each day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Tuesday)
Issued at 333 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Breezy southerly winds will continue on Sunday as the ridge axis
continues to amplify and shift off to the east. In response to
this southwest flow, Gulf moisture will return to the area, as
seen by dewpoints rising back into the upper 50s to lower 60s.
However, without a lifting mechanism in place, the forecast will
simply remain very warm (and a little humid), but free of
precipitation as highs again will climb into the low to mid 80s.
This will begin to chance by Monday as an upper-low shifts from
the central Plains into the Great Lakes, pushing a cold front
toward the area. Still some uncertainties with the timing of this
front -- and with things trending a little later Monday may also
by a very warm and mostly dry day with highs in the 80s in spite
of increasing cloud cover. However, by Monday evening/night into
Tuesday, this front will likely push across the Tennessee Valley,
bringing at least medium chances (40-50%) for showers and
thunderstorms during this window.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

VFR flight weather conditions are forecast during the next 24
hours.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...17
SHORT TERM....AMP
LONG TERM....AMP
AVIATION...17


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