Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
769
FNUS54 KMAF 080756
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
256 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20-FT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SOUTH TO THE PRESIDIO
VALLEY...
.DISCUSSION...
Another round of critical fire weather conditions is expected
today across western areas from SE NM south to the Presidio Valley.
These locations have missed out on wetting rains, and ERCs continue
to climb given multiple days of breezy conditions with above normal
temps. RFTIs will range from 5-7, locally 8 this afternoon where the
Red Flag Warning remains in effect, with eastward extent tempered due
wetting rains and ERCs below the 70th percentile, in spite of critical
RHs areawide. Recovery tonight will be poor to fair for most, with
another very dry day Thurs ahead of a cold front. However, winds Thurs
will be lighter precluding more significant fire weather concerns, and
near critical conditions across the higher terrain of SW TX will likely
be handled with an RFD. Fire weather concerns are low after tomorrow,
given below normal temps and rain chances through the weekend.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-082115-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
156 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (0) 47 (-5) 82
RH % (24h trend) 7 (+2) 29 (+12) 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 14 W 17 NW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 21 W 9 E 12
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 40 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10830 11190
Transport Wnd (kts) W 30 NW 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 324900 212610
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 6 3
RFTI Category Extreme Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-082115-
Chaves Plains-
156 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 88 (0) 47 (-6) 86
RH % (24h trend) 7 (+2) 35 (+18) 10
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 11 W 13 N 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 16 NW 9 E 9
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 36 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12850 11480
Transport Wnd (kts) W 23 N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 295550 183680
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 4 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-082115-
Eddy Plains-
156 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+2) 53 (-4) 90
RH % (24h trend) 8 (+1) 26 (+10) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 W 15 NW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 18 W 9 W 11
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 34 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11690 11820
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 315630 189120
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 7 2
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-082115-
Lea-
156 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+2) 49 (-6) 88
RH % (24h trend) 7 (+1) 37 (+20) 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 12 W 13 N 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 16 NW 7 NW 10
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 41 34 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11580 10970
Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 289500 142610
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 4 4 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-082115-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
256 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 /156 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+3) 53 (-4) 82
RH % (24h trend) 8 (-2) 27 (+9) 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 31 W 26 W 17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 33 W 24 W 20
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 4 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 49 44 34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8640 8920
Transport Wnd (kts) W 33 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 285120 205160
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 7 7
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ279-280-282-082115-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction,
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Lajitas, and Castolon
256 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 98 (+2) 60 (-5) 100
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-3) 23 (-1) 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11 W 9 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14 NW 7 W 14
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 24 24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11560 11360
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 254320 215840
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 4 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. North winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>278-281-082115-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Presidio Valley-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
and Presidio
256 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+3) 55 (-5) 93
RH % (24h trend) 7 (-1) 26 (+3) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 W 13 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 18 W 9 W 15
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 45 39 33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10700 10600
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 288900 233200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 5 5
RFTI Category Critical Critical Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-082-082115-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Kermit, Odessa, Midland,
Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
256 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 94 (+2) 56 (-6) 95
RH % (24h trend) 7 (-2) 46 (+3) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 W 8 NW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 SW 5 NW 11
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 31 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10970 9580
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 241340 172440
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ059-274-082115-
Loving-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Mentone and Pecos
256 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 94 (+1) 59 (-4) 94
RH % (24h trend) 7 (0) 24 (+4) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11 W 11 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 17 SW 7 W 13
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 41 33 32
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11080 11820
Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 265920 236400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 5 1
RFTI Category Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 80. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$