Text Products for FWS Issued by MHX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS72 KMHX 251335
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Mallard Creek GOCR...Goose Creek State Park
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
935 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds over the area today behind a cold front now
well offshore. Current northeasterly winds of 5-10 mph will increase
late this afternoon and early evening with gusts up to 15 mph. Min
RHs fall to between 50-55%.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 51174 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 51.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.09 to 30.14 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  20  21  22  25  27  29  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  67  69  70  71  70  69  67
RH..............75  65  61  57  53  55  57  59
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   5   6   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.                    9   9   14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.5 3.4 4.6 5.2 5.5 4.9 3.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   8   7   8   10  15
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............22  27  29  43  41  51  43  49
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.17  20  23  37  36  45  51  46
Sfc pres (in)...013 014 013 012 011 010 009 009

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 5865 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Min 10.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.11 to 30.23 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35  37  43  49  50  50  52  52  55  58  58  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  61  58  55  54  53  52  52  51  51  50  50
RH..............60  70  72  80  83  86  89  89  89  93  96  96
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..12  12  11  10  10  9   9   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14  14  14  9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.16  17  18  20  18  15  15  14  13  13  13  12
LVORI...........1   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6
ADI.............49  19  25  22  21  13  13  12  11  11  11  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.44  26  38  30  28  15  14  8   8   6   7   6
Sfc pres (in)...011 014 017 019 021 022 023 023 023 023 023 023

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 16 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 58304 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 68.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.25 to 30.32 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........52     53     42     28     17     16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............50     51     57     62     65     66
RH..............96     96     75     62     54     52
20 ft wind......NE 8   NE 9   NE 8   E 8    E 9    E 10
20 ft wind gust.9      14     9      14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1600   2300   3300   4600   4100
Transport wind..NE 12  NE 15  NE 16  NE 15  E 13   E 14
LVORI...........6      4      3      1      1      1
ADI.............10     31     47     61     68     53
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.7      24     37     49     58     58
Sfc pres (in)...30.25  30.29  30.31  30.31  30.29  30.28

$$
Forecaster...Simms
Requested by...Joe Martin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412439.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.martin@ncparks.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
