Text Products for FWS Issued by MHX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FNUS72 KMHX 221907
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for VOA...NCWRC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
307 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
An area of low pressure will continue to move away from the
coast today. High pressure briefly builds into the area this
afternoon through Tuesday followed by a cold front with limited
moisture pushing across the area Wednesday. High pressure
builds back into the area for the latter half of the week.
Unusually cool conditions and higher RH will support
a reduced risk of fire concerns today. Temperatures will
warm on Tuesday, and it will be drier, but winds will be light.

Winds will be light out of the NW in the morning and back to the
southwest after 12 PM. Minimum RHs will be around 30%.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west 7 to
                    9 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 53129 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 1.
ADI.................Max 60.
Stability class.....1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.09 to 30.21 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............60  64  67  69  70  69  68
RH..............41  34  32  30  29  30  32
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 5.4 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.7   6   7   7   7   8   9
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............40  38  48  49  49  53  60
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.32  31  39  40  40  47  53
Sfc pres (in)...021 020 018 016 013 011 009

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming southwest
                    5 to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 17 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 4370 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 5.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.04 to 30.09 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   6   11  11  11  11  13  16  17  19  22  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  65  63  60  58  56  54  52  51  50  50  51
RH..............34  38  44  49  53  57  61  69  71  74  77  74
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   4   5   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9       5   5   9   9   9   9   9   14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  12  14  14  15  16  16  16  16  17
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   2   3   2   3   3   3   4   3
ADI.............66  5   5   5   6   6   10  11  11  11  11  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.57  7   4   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   9
Sfc pres (in)...009 009 009 009 009 009 008 007 006 005 005 004

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers
                    late in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 23 mph decreasing to around 13 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 87170 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 91.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.02 to 30.05 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     30     40     45     52     47
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............52     55     61     68     73     73
RH..............74     69     58     49     43     44
20 ft wind......SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   W 9    W 10   W 9
20 ft wind gust.14     14     14     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1300   2500   3900   5400   3900
Transport wind..SW 20  SW 23  W 22   W 20   W 16   W 14
LVORI...........3      3      1      1      1      1
ADI.............13     38     71     91     51     64
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.14     29     56     76     87     53
Sfc pres (in)...30.05  30.05  30.03  30.02  30.02  30.02

$$
Forecaster...Cahill
Requested by...Jennifer Prince
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411779.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jennifer.prince@ncwildlife.org
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
