Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
000
FXUS64 KOHX 280119
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
819 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 816 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
High clouds continue to stream in from the south this hour. It`s
not a thick blanket, but they could affect the amount of frost we
end up seeing tonight, especially east of I-65. Those west of I-65
aren`t going to have a problem getting frosty. Frost Advisory
still in effect from 3 am until 9 am tomorrow morning.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Surface high pressure is sitting to our west and will continue to
build over the area into the weekend. This will bring a stretch of
dry weather. Clear skies and light winds tonight with bring
maximum radiational cooling and we will see lows fall into the
low to mid 30s. It`s early in the growing season but went ahead
and issued a Frost Advisory. Plenty of sun tomorrow with highs
in the 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Great weather is expected as we head into the end of the week and
the weekend as a strong ridge builds overhead. This will bring
warming temperatures and we will see them push back into the 70s
Friday and up to near 80s Sunday and Monday.
The forecast will become more active again early next week as a
trough tracks out of the southwest into the Midwest. This will
push a cold front into Middle TN in the Monday/Tuesday time frame.
Ensembles are still struggling with the exact timing but most
likely pushing through later Monday into Tuesday morning.
Ensembles are also showing 200-500 j/kg of CAPE and good bulk
shear on Monday ahead of the front with the highest CAPE in
western areas. Still a lot of uncertainty on if we will see strong
storms but the potential is there. In the wake of this system, a
return to dry and cooler conditions is likely for the rest of next
week as deep northwest flow develops aloft.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
VFR conditions continue over the next 24 hours. NW winds will
shift to NE tonight before turning back to the NW Thursday
afternoon.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville 36 63 41 72 / 0 0 0 0
Clarksville 32 62 41 71 / 0 0 0 0
Crossville 34 57 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
Columbia 34 63 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
Cookeville 35 58 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
Jamestown 33 57 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
Lawrenceburg 36 62 38 69 / 0 0 0 0
Murfreesboro 34 63 36 70 / 0 0 0 0
Waverly 34 63 40 70 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-
Fentress-Giles-Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-
Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-
Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van
Buren-Warren-Wayne-White-Williamson-Wilson.
&&
$$
UPDATE.......Unger
SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....Cravens