544
FNUS71 KRLX 291953
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Cheat...USFS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny skies and near calm winds provide to unseasonably hot
temperatures this afternoon. Upper 80s will be fairly common across
various lowland locations, even approaching record territory.
High pressure keeping the area dry today with a few fair weather clouds
dotting the sky.

Remaining mostly dry until late tonight into early Tuesday, when a
cold front approaches from the west. As a result, showers and a few
thunderstorms return from west to east Tuesday morning, and then end
from west to east on Wednesday.

Above normal temperatures return on Thursday, with showers and
storms to end the week into the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................67 to 72.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10
LAL.............1   1
Temp............74  73
RH..............40  38
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  14
Mix hgt (kft)...6.7 6.3
Transp wind dir.S   S
Transp wind spd.9   10
LVORI...........1   1
ADI.............67  72
Haines index....4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 to 8.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   6   6   12  15  26  22  30  29  26  57  57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  69  67  63  61  59  57  56  55  55  54  54
RH..............43  48  59  65  67  69  71  70  74  75  75  76
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   8   8   9   9   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13  11  11  13  14  13  12  12  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 3.5 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.10  9   9   10  10  12  12  10  10  10  9   9
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
ADI.............7   6   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   7   8   8
Haines index....3   3   3   4   4   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 70 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 14 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 56 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  44  49  69  75  80  81  79  73  76  74  83
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  30  50  60  70
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  30  50  60  70
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............55  55  56  59  61  63  65  65  66  67  65  64
RH..............77  77  76  72  72  68  63  62  61  60  67  70
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  12
20 FT wind gust.11  11  11  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.9 2.3 3.3 4.1 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  13  14  14
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   3
ADI.............7   10  11  28  35  43  45  34  35  38  56  40
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2

$$
Forecaster...JZ
Requested by...Jim Burke
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412713.0/RLX
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pamacc@firenet.gov