Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 241124
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for Pump Station Rx...NYS Forest Rangers
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
724 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

The prescribed burn area will experience transition during the next
24 hours, from dry high pressure gradually letting go today, to a wet
low pressure system moving in tonight. Clouds will thicken through the
day, but there will still be a good amount of dry air to overcome in
the lower levels. Eventually though the low pressure system will win,
with abundant moisture riding in via south to southeast wind. A wetting
rain is definitely expected tonight with additional showers on Wednesday.
One half to Three quarters of an inch of rain is expected; most of it
occurring tonight into early Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles late in the afternoon. Chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................8 percent increasing to 31 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 12 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......1700-3200 ft AGL increasing to 2700-4200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  64  70  75  80  84  89  94  98
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  54  57  58  59  60  59  59  58
RH..............48  46  45  45  45  44  47  47  49
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  11  11  11  11  10  10
20 FT wind gust.13  13  16  18  18  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.4 2.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  18  21  23  24  24  23  22  20
Haines index....5   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Morford
Requested by...Timothy Carpenter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807553.0/BGM
.EMAIL timothy.carpenter@dec.ny.gov



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