Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, SC

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Spot Forecast for WF-C154...USFS
National Weather Service Charleston SC
1124 AM EDT Wed May 16 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 EDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure to the southwest will bring unsettled weather to the
area. Shower activity will mainly be focused inland of the fire
location through midday, with showers moving in from over the
ocean most likely in the mid-to-late-afternoon timeframe. Any light
fog that does form overnight is expected to remain inland of the
fire location.

Fog potential for tonight: Low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 2800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 14 to 18 mph.
Max ADI.............38.
Inversion End.......8 AM

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  79  77  76  76  76
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  60  60  60  50
Temp............80  81  81  81  81  81
RH..............74  69  69  69  72  72
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.11  16  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  18  18  18
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   4
ADI.............29  34  38  34  29  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max LVORI...........5.
Min ADI.............10.
Inversion Begin.....8 PM

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........77     80     87     92     93     93
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
Temp............80     77     74     73     72     71
RH..............74     82     87     90     93     93
20 ft wind......S 8    S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9    S 10
20 ft wind gust.11     13     13     13     13     14
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   800    800    800    800    800
Transport wind..S 14   S 14   S 12   S 12   S 12   S 12
LVORI...........4      4      4      5      5      5
ADI.............19     10     10     10     10     12

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers until late
                    afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms through the
                    day. Showers likely early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 18 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing Height.......Max 2700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph increasing to 24 to 28 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Max ADI.............61.
Inversion End.......9 AM

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........94        90        85        81
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50        50        50        60
Temp............71        75        81        81
RH..............93        84        72        69
20 FT wind......S 10G16   S 12G18   S 15G22   S 17G25
Mix hgt (ft)....800       1300      2500      2600
Transport wind..S 12      S 24      S 28      S 28
LVORI...........5         4         2         2
ADI.............13        22        45        53

$$
Forecaster...Barnes
Requested by...Paul Churchill
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1810128.0/CHS
.DELDT 05/16/18
.EMAIL pchurchill@fs.fed.us



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