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000
FNUS73 KDLH 251415
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Wanless Farm...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
915 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 CDT on April 26.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Today will be a fairly clear dry day with no precipitation
expected. Relative humidities drop out this afternoon but should
recover overnight. Cloud cover will increase through the day
Friday and chances for rain increase through the afternoon and
evening. Widespread rain builds in by Friday evening, continuing
at least through Saturday afternoon. Up to 1.5" of rain possible
by Saturday evening. Winds increase out of the south-southeast
into Friday 10 to 15 mph, with gusts up to near 30 mph through
the day Friday, and then switching to the north Saturday 10 to 15
mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      5AM
Sky cover.......MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Temp............37
RH..............64
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..7
20 FT wind gust.15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6
Transp wind dir.S
Transp wind spd.14
Haines index....5
SDspl kt-ft/10007

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers early in the afternoon. Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 21 mph shifting to the southeast 24
                    to 28 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6600-23400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (47800-57200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.07 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     40     50
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............36     40     45     48     50     50
RH..............64     52     47     47     44     44
20 ft wind......SE 7   SE 9   SE 11  SE 13  SE 13  SE 13
20 ft wind gust.15     19     23     23     25     25
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1300   1900   2300   2400   2400
Transport wind..S 14   S 21   S 26   S 28   SE 26  SE 28
Haines index....5      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10007      23     45     56     55     57

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    early in the evening, then rain showers. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0400, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in
                    the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 26 mph shifting to the east 14
                    to 16 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (22400-38300 knot-ft) decreasing
                    to poor to fair (7300-18200 knot-ft) late in
                    the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.29 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50     90     90     90     100    100
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      2
Temp............49     47     41     40     40     40
RH..............46     56     79     85     92     96
20 ft wind......SE 13  E 13   E 12   E 11   E 10   E 9
20 ft wind gust.25     23     22     19     15     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   1300   1100   900    700    600
Transport wind..SE 26  SE 24  SE 23  SE 20  SE 16  E 14
Haines index....4      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100038     27     22     14     9      8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1300, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    north 10 to 12 mph with gusts to around 23 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 14 mph shifting to the north 14 to
                    18 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6700-26400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.52 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).100    90     90     90     70     70
LAL.............2      2      2      2      1      1
Temp............41     43     45     46     48     48
RH..............96     93     93     93     86     80
20 ft wind......E 10   E 10   NE 10  N 10   N 10   N 10
20 ft wind gust.15     16     16     18     19     22
Mix hgt (ft)....600    600    600    700    1000   1500
Transport wind..E 14   E 14   E 13   NE 13  N 15   N 18
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10007      7      7      8      13     24

$$
Forecaster...Ketzel
Requested by...Isaac Heruth
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412449.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL isaac.heruth@usda.gov