Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Portland, ME
000
FNUS71 KGYX 222105
FWSGYX
Spot Forecast for Captain Fitzgerald REcreation Area...Maine Forest Service
National Weather Service Gray ME
505 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (207) 688-3224, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
DISCUSSION...Early morning Tuesday will begin with generally
light S winds, which will increase during the morning reaching
about 10-15 mph with gusts approaching 25 mph by midday and
through the afternoon. Min RH will be close to 40% in the
afternoon, with highs in the low to mid 50s, as the onshore flow
brings in some maritime influence.
S winds diminish after sunset Tuesday evening and should settle
in the 5-10 mph range with good RH recovery expected. Rains
showers could move toward daybreak Wednesday, but are more likely
through the daylight hours.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............33.
Min apparent temp...29.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 23 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (51200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 increasing to 23 early in the morning, then
increasing to 46 late in the morning increasing
to 58 late in the morning decreasing to 49
decreasing to 38 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
for large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 6 6 6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............34 42 46 50 51 53 54 54 53 51 50
Dewpoint........31 34 34 35 34 34 34 33 33 32 32
RH..............89 73 63 56 52 48 46 45 46 48 50
Aparnt tmp (F)..29 38 41 46 51 53 54 54 53 51 45
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 6 8 12 13 14 14 15 15 14 13
20 FT wind gust.6 12 14 17 20 23 25 25 25 24 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.3 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.4 1.9 1.8
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 14 17 20 22 22 23 22 22 22 22
LVORI...........5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............10 23 42 49 62 54 53 56 51 46 38
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 16 32 40 48 51 51 46 45 36 33
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 3 am.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............34.
Min apparent temp...30.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31200 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (7500 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............2 early in the evening.
ADI.................46 decreasing to 16 early in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or low potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........14 14 14 14 14 14 63 63 63 63 63 63
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............47 44 40 39 39 38 38 37 36 36 37 38
Dewpoint........32 32 32 33 33 33 34 35 35 35 36 36
RH..............56 62 73 79 79 82 85 92 96 96 96 92
Aparnt tmp (F)..41 38 33 32 32 32 32 31 30 30 32 33
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..13 12 12 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.22 20 20 20 20 17 16 16 16 16 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.21 17 17 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 13 13
LVORI...........1 2 M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............46 16 M M M M M M M M M M
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31 14 8 10 10 10 8 8 8 9 9 9
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 25 percent early in the
morning.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Dewpoint............39 increasing to 42 late in the morning.
Min apparent temp...35.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west 7
to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest
around 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............MISSING.
ADI.................MISSING.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86 86 86 86 86 86 87 87 87 87 87 87
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............40 42 44 44 46 47 48 50 49 48 48 47
Dewpoint........37 38 39 40 41 42 42 43 43 42 42 41
RH..............89 86 82 86 83 83 80 77 80 80 80 79
Aparnt tmp (F)..35 37 39 39 42 43 44 47 46 44 44 42
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SW SW SW W W
20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 8 9 10
20 FT wind gust.14 16 17 17 16 16 15 14 14 16 17 20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SW SW SW W NW NW
Transp wind spd.14 16 17 18 18 17 16 14 13 14 15 17
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Haines index....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 19 25 27 27 27 24 21 19 21 24 27
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...CEMPA
Requested by...Aliesha Black
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411806.0/GYX
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Aliesha.J.Black@maine.gov