Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 191110
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Melvin...NCFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
710 AM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will cross the area this afternoon. High pressure will build north
of the region Friday through the weekend. Slow moving low pressure will impact
the area early to mid next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers late in
                    the morning into the early afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 6900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 31 to 38 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 282325 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 1.
ADI.................Max 135.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.76 to 29.88 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............53  56  61  63  56  50  50
Weather cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.......RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............72  73  74  75  75  74  73
RH.................57  51  46  40  37  37  37
20 FT wind dir.....W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd.....15  16  17  17  17  18  17
20 FT wind gust....18  23  23  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)......4.0 4.9 5.9 6.9 6.6 6.2 5.9
Transp wind dir....W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd....31  35  37  38  38  36  32
LVORI..............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI................96  113 127 135 134 127 113
Haines index.......4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..158 202 246 282 278 260 227
Stability class....D   C   C   C   C   C   C

$$
Forecaster...Collins
Requested by...John Cook
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807022.0/MHX
.EMAIL john.cook@ncagr



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