Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 221035
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for BLUEGRASS RX...USFS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
635 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A high pressure system will continue to provide dry weather today,
with temperatures several degrees warmer than on Saturday.

An upper low brings light rain back to the area Monday through
Wednesday.

Weak high pressure returns for the end of the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL early this morning, increasing to
                    700 ft by 11 am, then increasing to
                    2400-4200 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 6 OR or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  70  69  67  65  63  62  62  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  50  53  56  60  63  67  70  71
RH..............45  43  43  36  31  25  23  22  22
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.4 3.3 4.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7
Haines index....4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......5500-7400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph decreasing to 3 to 6 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 to 6 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........61  60  59  59  58  58  58  57  57  59  60  62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  66  63  61  58  56  55  54  53  52  52  51
RH..............25  29  35  38  40  41  45  48  54  60  64  68
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   8
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 7.2 7.4 5.5 2.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   12  13  10  7   5   3   5   5   5   6   6
Haines index....6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   5   4   4   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers early in the afternoon. Scattered rain
                    showers early in the afternoon, then rain
                    showers likely early in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent early in
                    the afternoon, then increasing to 30 percent
                    early in the afternoon increasing to 60 percent
                    early in the afternoon increasing to 70 percent
                    decreasing to 60 percent late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......500-1800 ft AGL increasing to 1900-3800 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph increasing to southeast 17 to
                    26 mph in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    shifting to the east around 13 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  65  66  70  78  82  85  91  95  95  97  97
Weather cov.....                        ISO SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  20  30  60  70  70  60
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  30  60  70  70  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  51  51  54  57  61  63  64  64  63  61  60
RH..............71  74  74  64  57  49  48  50  52  56  62  64
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.8   8       8   10  12  13  12  12  12  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.2 2.5 1.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   12  18  23  25  26  25  22  17  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2

$$
Forecaster...RPY
Requested by...MIKE ORTNER
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807288.1/RLX



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