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000
FNUS71 KCTP 161722
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 143 Woods...Pennsylvania Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
122 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 16.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Have updated the winds to call for higher gusts at the site.

Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasantly warm today with highs
65-75. Clouds will increase tonight with periods of light rain on
Wednesday. MinRH is forecast to drop between 20-30% this
afternoon with a light wind generally from the west.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
Min Humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the northwest 6 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................20 to 28.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  13  13  13  12  11  10  11  13  14
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  46  54  61  64  65  66  68  69  68
RH................  76  57  42  39  35  31  30  28  29
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   S   S   SW  SW  W   NW  N
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   3   2   2   2   2   3   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...      4   4   4   5   5   6   8   8
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.9 2.4 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.2
Transp Wind Dir...  E   SE  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp Wind Spd...  5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
LVORI.............  3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  20  20  20  28  28  28  21  21  21
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 3 am.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 47.
Max Humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the evening, then increasing to 6 to 7 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 8 to 12 mph shifting to the east 10
                    to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 to 13.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  16  18  19  32  44  57  59  62  65  69  74  79
Weather Cov.......                                          ISO ISO
Weather Type......                                          RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  66  61  56  53  52  50  49  49  48  49  48  48
RH................  31  37  47  50  52  54  56  58  60  61  63  65
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   8   10  13  8   7   8   10  10  10  10  11
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp Wind Dir...  N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
Transp Wind Spd...  8   9   10  12  10  12  13  13  13  13  13  15
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI...............  5   5   5   8   8   8   11  11  11  13  13  13
Haines Index......  4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Widespread rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....Around 64.
Min Humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 13 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16 to 33.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  83  88  92  93  95  96  97  99  100 100 100 100
Weather Cov.......  SCT SCT NUM WID WID OCL OCL NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM
Weather Type......  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........          SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp..............  50  50  51  52  54  56  57  59  61  62  62  63
RH................  63  68  71  80  83  83  86  83  84  81  78  75
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   7   8   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  11  12  11  13  14  14  14  16  16  17  17
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
Transp Wind Dir...  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  14  13  15  15  17  16  17  16  18  20  20  21
LVORI.............  2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
ADI...............  16  16  16  20  20  20  28  28  28  33  33  33
Haines Index......  5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Dangelo
Requested by...Josh Mitchell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410964.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshmitche@pa.gov